SBUWX23

Good job sticking to your guns. The north idea was not a bad way to go given the overall crappy setup, but we were saved by several minor subtleties that played in our favor. Thankfully the upper low existed over southeast Canada. It helped keep things from cutting to our west and then obviously the positive tilt to the southern stream initially. The trialing system also help shunt it east. If things were timed 6 hours later I'd suspect amounts would have been lower because of the marginal temps and time of day.

Live your lives and stop fretting over the snow at the park. It is consistent with LGA and not far off from other official measurements.

there is deformation banding to the west of the city that has to pivot through. enjoy the snow and stop panicking over minor nuances. look what happened to our NW, obviously the deformation zone has good rates too.

no this is not true. look at KDIX radar. there is a pivot south of the city. KOKX is missing some of the returns out that way.

um returns are fine, look at KDIX

If there posts how hrrr lowers rates soon, look at whats going on across the interior in Lohud and CT. Obs over model now.

Some of that is bright banding where radar is seeing some mixed precip at beam height but yes good returns for the metro coming in

Just needed heavier precip.

Snow mixing in now with some sleet towards Yaphank area Suffolk county

Make sure to check the event total graphics on NWS sites. Those include snow for the whole event the most likely starts at 12z so it's the remainder of event

3km nam profile over nyc at 14z. I disagree there is a trend for weaker lift in NYC area

Here is an example on latest hrrr at 14z

Respect him but that's at 12z. Lift goes up after that over the city

Sun gonna be shining there tomorrow?

Recon is sampling along the east coast as we speak.

the hrrr has basically stopped trending south and maybe even inched the north edge up a bit.

this is still a model analysis to a level using RAP fields. so dont panic off this.

soon itll be a 1000 mb low. those strength changes are noise. its the precip shield that we have to watch

its over. the 6-8 on a mean wont accumulate.

all of a sudden the ukmet is a god? Its been trashed on here for months.

snow likely wont be anything more than a talking point with this sounding in the city. this is 10z by the way.

So .5 to 1 inch hour will just melt everywhere?

its out that far already?

Holy GEFS mean