SBUWX23

Just a few reminders here about how things can change really close to game time Most recently for those on LI Jan 2022 trended nw just enough on top of having a great jet structure to slam us and Boston. Just grazed nyc with moderate totals. Feb 2021 - this waivers back and forth and ultimately trended north enough that some had mixing and dry slot issues out here. Dec 2020: snow max once modeled over NYC was well update. No model not even the euro was the far north. GFS was atrocious with this too. Jan 2018: trended nw. Quick hitting snow event with a foot in the city and 15 out here Jan 2016. Modeled to max DC and it maxed over NYC. It can change on a dime. Don't forget that and don't think that what we are seeing now is #lockedin

A winter storm is not likely. Can we change this thread?

Those squalls out on eastern LI had awesome graupel.

Not really sure but Bernie Rayno says follow the 528 thickness line, but that was news to me

Thankfully we still got solid snowfall. Could easily have been skunked. Definitely wasn't subsidence over us or we would not have anything

Official measurements are every 6 hours and don't happen on a tabletop.

Nice snow out there now with these last bands coming through eastern LI.

Guess it was a bust.

@psv88 how'd you do? Even for portions N of the band should have at least 2 or 3 inches. Was never in heavy rates where I am in Yaphank and still have close to 3 and snowing still.

I see them now thanks I missed the LSRs.

Where did you get the NYC area amounts from

And it's AllSnow

It's inching north

Park is at 32 now..so much for it being too warm.

Still seems like things are ever so slightly inching north.

Can't wait for your ripping posts soon

Been thinking the same thing but seems to be differing opinions on this. Maybe east end isn't as great but think at least western half should be ok. Some south shore places may see more in this one than Tuesday.

Look at radar. That band he said that reformed looks to be heading in the direction of the city.

It's good official measurements are not taken on blacktop with a subway system below

The dewpoint is 12. There will be no problem with snow fall on a colder surface once the steadier snow arrives.

It's nothing probably radiaiting off the lowering clouds

Probably won't take long for the park to drop below freezing. Not sure about blacktop in Manhattan. I'm sure there will be "roads covered" posts galore.

I disagree. Temp is 37 now with a dewpoint of 12. When it starts precipitating temperature will drop to freezing and then should drop a bit more through the early morning.

The dewpoint is 10 too. Ideal wet bulb cooking conditions

No it did not looking at its simulated radar.