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Hvward

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Hvward

  1. Hvward
    12z GFS showing a saturated dendritic growth zone around WNC Thursday evening with temps in the upper 20's at the surface. I know its not showing up on the precipitation maps but that is very close to a snow sounding. Lets see if the Euro holds it ground, I bet it does.
  2. Hvward
    Indeed. Someone has to say it, EE rule.
  3. Hvward
    Euro ensemble has 23 members with a 6"+ event for KAVL. Looking for that to move a little higher over the next run or two.
  4. Hvward
    Baroclinic zone sets up over WNC late Thursday night per NAM & RDPS. Thats a snow sounding to me. 1040mb+ high moves out of Plains with high pressure building in the South Atlantic will squeeze a moisture stream together over the South. Don't expect models to handle this one well.
  5. Hvward
    This Friday/Saturday system/systems is sneaky, but I have seen us cash in from overrunning events i.e. Dec 2017. Waiting on the Euro but ill have a new update here in a little while.
  6. Hvward
    Tracking snow with snow on the ground vibes this morning. Haven't felt that in a while.
  7. Hvward
    All bets are off with the ULL dipping under us. We shall see.
  8. Hvward
    Still 24hrs+ of snowfall possible around WNC with this current event, this flow will mean business.
  9. Hvward
    Been thinking that as well for you man. You about to get smacked.
  10. Hvward
    I have around 5” of snow at my house in the official snow hole. Ferries still flying with some sleet mixing in. I usually do good with NWF here at my location so I think I could add another 4” before tomorrow morning. Alexander, NC
  11. Hvward
    Lol gotta have thick skin to forecast here in the mountains of WNC. Thanks guys. Sorry I’ve been a ghost, haven’t had much to say other than I thought the short range models were wrong.
  12. Hvward
    Man we are getting hammered here in the snow hole. Already an inch on the ground.
  13. Hvward
    I am still calling for a big dog. New video uploading to YouTube now.
  14. Hvward
    Candler Gets 9" on the Nam3km and Downtown Asheville gets a dusting.. Fun forecast here.
  15. Hvward
    Opps jk, it pops it in ETN? Weird
  16. Hvward
    Analyzing sounding even in Cherokee County where it shows green precip, the warm nose is meager. Its not this massive pronounced deal like we see sometimes down in those areas. Even in the NC/GA/TN border the warmest the surface gets is 40 degrees, and that is right at the surface. The parcel falls in nearly frozen air the whole time. A sleet/snow mix would occur then.
  17. Hvward
    12z NAM Looking to not slam the low into WNC, changes coming here. Looks to handle the transfer a tad bit cleaner.
  18. Hvward
    That Baroclinic leaf out in front looks stout, could see some flurries start flying here in the next couple of hours. Someone might get a decent snow shower even this afternoon.
  19. Hvward
    Honestly I think its the shear amount of energy flying around in the atmosphere. Don't get me wrong that low is going to try and drive into WNC, but the air up here is going to be colddd. I just think we have an anomaly on our hands here and the short range models are struggling to decide where that low redevelops off the coast.
  20. Hvward
    Lol at the short range models. Don't think I have ever seen a low take that track with such a strong high in place. This should correct.
  21. Hvward
    Living in that HRRR snow hole got me like . I should be able to give us a good read on how accurate those snow holes actually are.
  22. Hvward
    I was looking at this and I was like, this dude owns a plumbing supply spot and sure enough! Love it man I hear business is good up in that area! Just like it is everywhere else in WNC.
  23. Hvward
    Yeah it has mixing issues and also don't account for the backside that is about to come through. I would expect that to correct over the next 24 hours.
  24. Hvward
    The warm nose the NAM shows over WNC is meager. Heavy rates are going to overcome that. There would be so much forcing in the atmosphere in the way of negative omega that I can't see that precipitation falling as freezing rain.
  25. Hvward
    Yeah that’s another 6” for most.
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