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andyhb

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by andyhb

  1. andyhb
    Euro once again is a high end event for 4/4 (Tuesday). Massive trough with a wavelength of more than half the CONUS slams into a huge warm sector with mid-upper 60s dewpoints throughout. Other models definitely slowed so there is a bit of split now in the solutions.
  2. andyhb
    Bimodal D2 MDT, one closer to the surface low with a 10 hatched tornado risk (wind driven), the other in the Mid South with a 15 hatched tornado risk.
  3. andyhb
    Predictably, the 00z HRRR is insane.
  4. andyhb
    To be fair, he also has raised a lot of money for the community. You can't fault him for that.
  5. andyhb
    Come on, seriously now. You just don't see output like that from the 3 km NAM.
  6. andyhb
    HRRR solutions later are likely going to be pretty nuts if the 3 km NAM is already this aggressive across the warm sector (with supercellular storm modes).
  7. andyhb
    Early 3 km NAM runs certainly don't do anything to suppress this potential. Impressive parameter space across the entire warm sector.
  8. andyhb
    Think we're going to need a specific thread for 4/4 given the potential magnitude of Tuesday's threat, but we have a large D7 15% area outlined in the latest D4-8.
  9. andyhb
    Huge D3 enhanced/30 hatched area issued.
  10. andyhb
    Somehow the 00z Euro came in and outdid last night's 00z run in terms of insanity. A 971 mb low with plenty of moisture access. Absolute bomb. Will just report my tweet here for the ensemble means, which all indicate that Tuesday could be a big day.
  11. andyhb
    Probably because it's almost -20 degrees at 500 mb and below freezing at 700 mb yielding extreme 0-3 km CAPE and low-level lapse rates.
  12. andyhb
    12z GFS/GEFS is also incredible in the Tuesday-Wednesday window next week.
  13. andyhb
    00z Euro for 4/4, holy mother of god...
  14. andyhb
    You could take a... "detour" to Eastern AR perhaps.
  15. andyhb
    500 mb presentation on the Euro is a classic for a significant severe event in the Midwest.
  16. andyhb
    CSU MLP is going off for Friday with a massive 45% hatched area.
  17. andyhb
    That’s a very large 30% in the D5.
  18. andyhb
    Strong tornado ongoing WNW of Tuskegee AL.
  19. andyhb
    00z models look nasty for Friday in portions of the sub-forum. A couple of them have what would probably be a significant severe weather outbreak from the Mid MS Valley to the western Lakes. Some very high end solutions here in the GEFS.
  20. andyhb
    And now up to 21...
  21. andyhb
    Report from another forum of the situation in Amory MS. Death toll looks to be up to at least 14.
  22. andyhb
    7 dead per county coroner in Sharkey Co. MS (Rolling Fork area).
  23. andyhb
    That was a devastating hit on the northern portion of Amory.
  24. andyhb
    Absolutely violent tornado heading for Amory, and that is not a small town.
  25. andyhb
    Debris above 30k feet with this thing, very likely violent.
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