1234snow
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Everything posted by 1234snow
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Very surprised to see you with a mix at that temp. Also surprisingly, all snow here and 32.
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Appears to be snowing solidly in Lee County. Some strong returns there.
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Light snow has begun to fall here.
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38 here and 35 across the Clinch Mountain in Gate City. If that gives you an idea of micro climates.
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46 degrees now.
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44 degrees here. Constant sunshine all day. Fool me once shame on the models. Fool me twice shame on me.
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Then it appears for a lot of rain setting up after all of that snow on the RAP.
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Big flakes flying now. I am surprised. It is down to 32.
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Only a very slight dusting here. Rained all night. Unbelievable. Was in the bullseye on all models for 3-6 and came away with nothing. I think I’m done looking at models for a while. It’s just not worth it if they aren’t going to be accurate.
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Still mostly rain here. I have no clue why it still hasn’t turned over. I’m giving up and going to bed. Frustrated.
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Still mainly rain here and 33. Watching cameras from a few miles northeast of here with some higher elevation and its hammering down.
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Half rain and snow here at 34. Always the last to switch over. A painful wait.
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36 and still rain here
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One observation I will make is the lack of convection along the Gulf coast. Only one lone supercell moving ashore in Florida. So, moisture transport getting shut off shouldn’t be an issue with this one. But this does seem to be a different scenario than with true a Miller A setup.
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For those on the plateau/Crossville area then to the northeast: Get ready. It’s fixing to come hot and heavy.
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Temp is 39 with light rain beginning to reach the ground.
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Sorry, I meant more QPF and more snow! For some reason Tapatalk won’t let me post images.
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RGEM coming in a little wetter as well.
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I like you for 4-6. To me you have the less uncertainty. No warm nose/downslope.
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12k NAM is much better across the board for the valley except Chatty. Less downsloping this run.
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Dry slot in the valley is becoming more pronounced on all models. Looks like the jackpot will be close to John and into Kentucky.
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Noticeable difference on that run was a further shift northwest with the backside snow and a dry slot in the valley in the middle of the system.
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12z GFES pretty much has 40+ hours of frozen precip for the whole area. Continuously. -
I think it may trend for a problem for the whole valley at this rate. I’d also be concerned for the big I-95 cities in the northeast.
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It almost doesn’t break apart the waves this run. Almost continuous moisture of some intensity for the forum.
