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1234snow

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Everything posted by 1234snow

  1. 1234snow
    Agreed. I’m not sure I’ve seen every single global model latch onto a similar solution in one run before. 12z GFS, EURO, CMC, ICON, UKMET all have a similar solution with someone in NE-TN/mountains/NC/SWVA getting accumulating snow. Even the ACCESS-G (Australian) has a pasting for the mountains. Yes, I just found that model haha.
  2. 1234snow
    That looks really solid. Pivotal 10/1 map does not match up with that at all.
  3. 1234snow
    12z UKMET has our cutoff swinging southeast of us and has an amped solution. Seems to be too warm based on the limited Pivotal Weather maps I was looking at.
  4. 1234snow
    12z GFS, CMC and ICON all trended further southeast with the 500 mb cutoff low. Stronger and slightly colder solutions. With marginal cold air we will certainly need the cutoff low to travel southeast of us.
  5. 1234snow
    18z PARA GFS popped some snow as the first upper low scoots across the region.
  6. 1234snow
    I know this has already been stated but the big Aleutian low will probably kill our chances at cold for a couple of weeks. It is nice to see that feature retrograde westward over time to allow some ridging to develop.
  7. 1234snow
    I think the lowest pressure for that area is 924mb. Not sure about world record for non-tropical.
  8. 1234snow
    12z GFS is interesting at the 500mb level with the trough going negative tilt with the second wave at hour 144 (12z Sun, Jan. 3rd) at the Bama/Georgia border. This pops a strong coastal low that heads up the Carolinas and then out to sea. Mountains get a few inches as most the precip shield stays to the southeast which is fine for now. At least there is a signal at the 500mb level. I’m interested in the 12z Euro now that it showed this wave last night.
  9. 1234snow
    12z GFS is BIG for middle TN. Foot+ in some spots up to 20 inches in Eastern KY
  10. 1234snow
    We have streamers!!!!
  11. 1234snow
    Ended up with 3.5” here. Not as high as some models had but very close to what I was expecting. Just a beautiful event that we will remember for a long time. Such a dynamic system at the perfect time of year. Merry Christmas everyone! I hope this snowfall could help ease the pain of a horrible year.
  12. 1234snow
    It is coming down. That is all. I will report back later after a Jeb walk. [emoji23]. Carver’s Gap time to get you a 5k in.
  13. 1234snow
    One of the quickest changeovers I’ve ever seen. It ranks up there with some of the fastest ones.
  14. 1234snow
    Switchover has occurred. Temp down to 34. It was 50 about 30 minutes ago. Watching the CC on RadarScope was simply incredible.
  15. 1234snow
    Intense wind and rain here. Power has went in and out already. Temp from 50 to 41 in a matter of minutes.
  16. 1234snow
    Poor Chattanooga is right in the edge of the line. If precip could fill in to the southwest of them it would probably be close to turning to snow.
  17. 1234snow
    Should be go time for Chattanooga and surrounding areas now. Precip is starting to break out.
  18. 1234snow
    Light snow band has extended from Nashville to middle Alabama/Mississippi. Some radars pick it up. Some don’t. Curious to see if it is reaching the ground?
  19. 1234snow
    Save the run for tonight when it’s snowing!!!!!
  20. 1234snow
    Very heavy rain band of 55 dbz moving thru now. Heavy rain all morning. Quite the impressive system alone based on the rain. Current temp is 49.
  21. 1234snow
    One observation I will make is that the line of convection seems to be advancing to the East very quickly. Hopefully that can slow down somewhat. I’ve seen in many cases in the past where the line of convection can race ahead east of the mountains and cutoff the flow coming off the Gulf. That is where the Lee side low would help us out.
  22. 1234snow
    Both the 12k and 3k look awesome to me. Snow maps haven’t loaded yet on Tropical Tidbits. Back it up, Terry! Put it in reverse!
  23. 1234snow
    Not sure if this system will fit the definition of a “Blue Norther” for those folks in Texas/Oklahoma but it is certainly dropping due south. You can really see the orientation of the trough well in those animations.
  24. 1234snow
    I feel we have many changes still left to go. My guess would be a more amped final solution.
  25. 1234snow
    One thing I’ve noticed and it has been mentioned here already is the 500mb trough has been trending sharper and further south. That backside energy really wants to shoot south. That can only help us out I would think. May even pop another low that the SREF is eyeing.
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