Thrasher Fan

Getting into fantasy land now but I liked the trends today for both storm chances.

2nd storm chance is really slow to eject east. Brutal cold locking in to its north... New Orleans blizzard? haha...

Next round is digging a lot further west at 180....

Its trying to plow into a very dry airmass offshore in the atlantic. Transfer of available moisture northward didn't happen that run though. Good trend for NC folks

Social media is about to light up with this run...

bit further west too ejecting out Canada

Out to 90 on the 0z and looks similar to 18z. Maybe a hair colder, similar moisture.

Had a TOR warning at 4:15 on a Sunday morning in December. Going to get cold they say. They say...

This GFS run is a mess. A bunch of amped up L's with cold chasing and then just plan old frigid.

That 0z GFS run was absolutely wild for the New Orleans area...

Nothing more than a high end rain event for the ATL metro. Forecast was way off with the storm never turning N much less NW.

Not really even close.

I think things line up correctly with their overall track; just can't recall the PTC NWS office ever breaking things down on a county by county basis in this manner before. They are doing a good job of indicating the vast differences just 20-30 miles can make on intensity of the winds.

Updates to the Tropical Storm Warnings have been hoisted in N Ga. Very different wording from county to county as you go from west to east.

Seems to me like the models are really struggling with how and when the Fujiwhara effects take place with the pull west. Hard to blame anyone/anything on the challenge the post onshore track is becoming. The stalled/remnant cold front isnt helping matters either. A bunch of moving parts.