
ncjoaquin
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Everything posted by ncjoaquin
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2024-2025 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
ncjoaquin replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
GSP all in on the NAM. Also believe the precip minimum in the Aville valley. They could be right. Multiple models not showing a significant precip minimum. That minimum is modeled on more precip events than I care to remember. It has also been incorrect many times and Aville and Buncombe has over performed. We shall see. Let's just start with that 1st flake and go from there. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=GSP&issuedby=GSP&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off -
2024-2025 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
ncjoaquin replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
I will do it. I only go a couple times a year, but I will let you know. -
2024-2025 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
ncjoaquin replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Slots. I kept hitting the bonus. I left while I was ahead! -
2024-2025 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
ncjoaquin replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
I took a break from model watching and went to the casino. I won a $1000. Let's hope my luck extends to our snow accumulation. -
2024-2025 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
ncjoaquin replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
SREF looks better for KAVL. That usually bodes well for the NAM looking better. We shall see. -
The only thing that I'm jealous about strongwxnc for is that he can run faster than me!
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I don't see a rivalry. Everybody in the mountains would love to see Foothills people get snow. I would be thrilled if WNCSnow gets more than me. He invests a lot in the board, has tried to stay positive, and he deserves it. That said, nobody controls the weather. I'm in the mountains and have had some dustings and 1 one inch snowfall in 3 years. But if you guys get it, or the Raleigh people or Atlanta people get, yay for them!!!
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2024-2025 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
ncjoaquin replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
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2024-2025 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
ncjoaquin replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
A great start. I'll take it. -
2024-2025 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
ncjoaquin replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
The winter storm watch for everybody else!!! https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NCZ053&warncounty=NCC021&firewxzone=NCZ053&local_place1=2 Miles E Enka NC&product1=Winter+Storm+Watch&lat=35.5637&lon=-82.6538 -
2024-2025 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
ncjoaquin replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
I really do feel that models are going to come back around. Actually, the SW mtns have not even really had a bad model run yet. They are definitely money. Also, just an inch of snow at this point would make me happy. So, the bar is pretty low regardless. We still have almost 2 full days until go time. Anything can happen. -
2024-2025 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
ncjoaquin replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Winter storm watch for SW counties, N Georgia mountains, and Madison. Buncombe not there... Yet. Still plenty time for all kind of changes https://forecast.weather.gov/showsigwx.php?warnzone=NCZ052&warncounty=NCC087&firewxzone=NCZ052&local_place1=2 Miles NW Lake Junaluska NC&product1=Winter+Storm+Watch&lat=35.5277&lon=-82.9766 -
2024-2025 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
ncjoaquin replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
I was thinking that was for this weekend,then noticed the date stamp. Some accumulation over most of Buncombe. Hopefully, that is correct. -
2024-2025 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
ncjoaquin replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
The old saying used to be that the biggest snows come when the rain lurked close by. We may get to test that. I'll start with an inch of snow and be happy and then get greedy after that. -
2024-2025 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
ncjoaquin replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Wow!!! Beautiful pictures!!! -
2024-2025 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
ncjoaquin replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Pretty good snow showers Candler and Asheville, but nothing on the ground. It is still probably top 5 in the last 3 years. -
2024-2025 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
ncjoaquin replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Even without a NW trend, I think that we would be in good shape. Ratios would be high. A low right there, if that is where it actually ended up, would snow more than what is being printed out. Regardless, you and Met, and you other higher mountain people should get a few good upslope events coming up. -
2024-2025 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
ncjoaquin replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
A reasonable request, lol. -
2024-2025 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
ncjoaquin replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Looks like the 10th holds some hope also. Surely, we will pick up something decent in the next couple weeks. -
2024-2025 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
ncjoaquin replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Happy New Year mountain/foothill people. Here's to a quieter weather year with no significant tropical action , but plenty of gentle,no trouble causing snow! -
Northern Canada is probably not safe at this point.