ncjoaquin

7 hours ago, Met1985 said:

I do. I just try to be optimistic about things. If you read a lot of the forums it's depressing and really just makes someone not want to post here. So I try to balance things out with a little optimism. 

I appreciate the optimism! I'm not always optimistic myself, but try to lean that way. We all know, especially the past 2 winters, that the deck is stacked against us. But I would rather see how it can work than how it won't. Nothing against WNCSnow. He's a good dude. 

But, keep up the positive Met1985! 

3 minutes ago, WNC_Fort said:

Ummm… snow flurries in Biltmore Village this morning?

Also here in Candler. 2nd biggest snow of the year. 

And we are back on the Euro. Just when I thought I was out.....

High end forecast for Tuesday morning. So, maybe some flakes in the air. Though the expected forecast is zero. Trying not to give up completely yet. Who knows. It could turn positive again. 

Oh well. It's not over yet, but the models are definitely not trending in our favor. It looks like another almost zero winter for Asheville. I am sure higher elevations will get some more. Oh well, it is what it is.

I am very happy for the rain. I have a well. I'll take rain over drought. Spring and Summer are coming. Nothing wrong with fishing and beach trips. Maybe I will be surprised, but if not, we will try it again next Winter and hope for a better result.

3 hours ago, ncjoaquin said:

0z Euro shows some potential, just a week out as noted by GSP. It will probably change, but it shows the potential is there.

A more southerly
track like the new 06/00z EC suggests heavy rain Monday,
transitioning to wintry precip on the back side Monday night. The
GDPS is similar in track to the EC but not as cold. The GFS timing
would delay peak impacts to Tuesday, but hints at a more marginal
HSLC event.

 

12z GFS showing a possibility in the same time frame, especially on the border. 

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/

0z Euro shows some potential, just a week out as noted by GSP. It will probably change, but it shows the potential is there.

A more southerly
track like the new 06/00z EC suggests heavy rain Monday,
transitioning to wintry precip on the back side Monday night. The
GDPS is similar in track to the EC but not as cold. The GFS timing
would delay peak impacts to Tuesday, but hints at a more marginal
HSLC event.

I can be negative. I know I can. I get it. There has been very little or none valley and low land snow But the constant negativity and warm weather trolling wears me out.

Hopefully, we get some snow soon. I will be disappointed if we don't. But dang.... It will snow again one day. 

56 minutes ago, Tyler Penland said:

10 hours ago, Met1985 said:

We will score again. 

Oh yeah I'm not super concerned. Hell even if we don't I'm good with this winter. Beat the crap out of last year.

It has not beat the crap out of it here. An inch last year, with a 1/2 inch this year. But..... I feel really good about the backend of winter. Everything looks about as good as it can look. We've been plenty cold enough. We have had copious moisture. We just need both things to kindly occur at the same time. I think that happens. I'm looking forward to it. 

Just now, Maggie Valley Steve said:

Good grief! 2 Feet of snow + for Haywood County early next week. 

Let it be so, lol. A lot of model ups and downs. 

2 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Let this happen and I will be positive the rest of the year

I'll hold you to it, lol. Me too! 

Looks like upper elevations stand a good shot of more snow Tuesday night and Wed morning!!!  If we can throw in some Feb and March snow to the mix, it will be an excellent winter for you guys. 

29 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

It's chilly but not cold. You can feel a touch of spring in the air. No snow in Asheville, too warm. Wild in late January that you get a good NWFS and it's rain or mix except 3k and up. 

I can see a mountain no more than 200 feet above my elevation and you can see the trees in snow and snow falling. Ridiculous. I guess snow drought begets snow drought. Oh well, on to the next one. 

16 minutes ago, Hvward said:

This morning around Asheville it seems if you drive up the right hill you switch to snow.

There is a mountain I can see no more than 200 feet above my elevation and you can see the snow falling and snow in the trees. Here, just every so often snowflakes. 

It's hard to beat the Lees McRae webcam. (Obviously, time sensitive, lol)

https://www.resortcams.com/webcams/lees-mcrae/

The ones that need your sarcasm, met1985, probably would not even realize that you're being sarcastic, lol. 

Take it with a grain of NaCl, but the 6z GFS op brings a series of snow chances. These show up and disappear run to run. Hopefully, they start getting in a 5 day window. GSP not very excited by the upcoming upslope. It looks better to me than what they think, but they have forgotten more than I know. 

It will probably change, but GFS op looks good for multiple MTN chances after this week. 

Just made it to 10 here. But, I ran 6 miles at 10 degrees, so there is that. I'm not StrongWXnc, but not bad for 5 months short of 60. Looks like a warm week, with a "shot" of something wintry a week from Monday. 

Snowing pretty good all over Buncombe County. 

13 minutes ago, westmc9th said:

Roads are already covered up here. It's slacked off a bit since earlier this morning but I'm excited to get out and explore some once the sun comes up

 You missed the black ice here. Apparently, really slick. Jealous? Just kidding !!!

I know snow beats black ice any day of the week. I love Banner Elk. I hope you get blitzed with snow. Take lots of pictures. 

21 degrees and actually a few flurries. Definitely feels like winter despite missing out on big snow. 

Late in a NAM run, but it really picks up on the upslope at the end of the run. 

Just now, Buckethead said:

I just want a locksmith that can drive up here and program a new one. I fear thats too much to hope for today.

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Ha! Ha! They would realllllllllllyyyyyyy need the business.

1 minute ago, Buckethead said:

I'll tell you one thing I don't like about the snow...it makes looking for your ONLY truck key that you dropped oitside a bit 9f a challenge!

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Oh Lord! Good luck.