ncjoaquin

33, lightning, thunder, and heavy rain. Can't see the bushes or trees yet to see if maybe there is some ice up in there. It is funny how the temp knows to stop at 33.  

I haven't even looked outside, but it is 34 here, so I doubt there is anything to look at. 

2 minutes ago, BretWx said:

Me too. I cannot recall ever seeing that much ice forecasted especially along the escarpment. It would be devastating 

Me neither. The last real ice storm I even remember for Central to West Buncombe was in 1996. Huge ice storm with 4 inches of ice cold powder on top. Otherwise, we have had tree toppers and bridge icers. 

2 minutes ago, beanskip said:

Heads up guys, I just talked with Larry Cosgrove, he says the cold air damming is waayyyyy overdone by the models. Should be a cold rain for most ....

;-) :-0

(got to be a board oldtimer to appreciate that one) 

I will beat Brandon and Jeremy to wish an inch of ice on you.

Or not,lol.

30 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

Also we are losing blocking in the AO and NAO regions. The AO is a straight shot towards the positive in and the NAO is hovering around neutral and of course the PAC jet is no damn help staying crappy. 

We were better off with the marginal cold. 

1 hour ago, strongwxnc said:

Awesome Jason! Nothing beats running in the snow. I’m sidelined for a Month or I would have drove up to black mountain this weekend for some action on the trails!


.

Oh no!! I hope you get better soon Mark. 

So, I went on a fast 5 mile snow run(not StrongWxnc ultra marathon fast, but old man fast) I love running through the woods. The snow is at it's deepest, and undisturbed, except by the deer. I have been running in the morning at 22 degrees in the dark, so 36 had me down to t-shirt. A beautiful day !!!

Just a little less than 4 inches here. Very pretty. I am glad we have got the snow that we got this winter. It has been a great winter.

Long range models look like garbage, but this snow didn't show up on models until Thursday, so maybe more to come. That severe cold has disappeared for this model cycle. A really bitter cold snow would be a good addition to the winter.

Very heavy snow. Everything covered. Roads included. 

10 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Nice, hope it makes it over the mountain

Me too bud. I hope you get this. Accumulating fast. Pancake flakes. I hope it lasts until at least midnight.

And just like that the sky has opened up. Big flakes, heavy snow. This will do the job. I hope it lasts for a while.

6 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Rates have killed us more than temperature 

Agreed. It accumulated when it actually snowed. Temp bouncing between 32 and 34. Just need heavier rates.

Got about a 1/4 inch here and I bet I am still the big winner in Buncombe County. I had about 20 minutes of pretty good snow , then just light not very accumulating snow. Still waiting on better rates. 

Left Arden, 40 degrees light rain. Got back to Candler, snow and 33, ground is white. 

8 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

NAM is a paste bomb for most of us wow

Totals keep going up. I hope it is right.

Flurries here at 45 degrees. Seriously.

Forecast models have been much kinder to us today. 

GEFS plumes for Asheville has a mean of 6.25 inches.

4 minutes ago, SnoJoe said:

I agree. I think it might end up being a number 2 on the SnoJoe scale:

1.  1-2 inches = Nickels and dimes
2.  2-4 inches = Ok, I guess. What's for dinner?
3.  4-6 inches = Decent
4.  6+ inches = A good snow

Down in the valley, I will put the 2-4 in the good snow category. 

I would take this all day long. 

Just now, wncsnow said:

Yep, we went to 6 inches or more tomorrow night to less than an inch here and to cold rain all next weekend. Absolutely depressing day of model runs

NWS has upped the WSW area to 3-6 inches. They may have access to something other than these crappy models. Maybe the GFS will have something positive. 

Models have sucked today, short range, medium range, long range, range rover, anything with range, sucked. 

This map just created supposedly. GSP not buying basically any model right now. 

1 minute ago, Met1985 said:

Yeah I was very surprised that schools were not on a delay this morning.  I ran into several spots with black ice...

The worst weather condition. Every other weather condition you at least know it is going to be slick. I am surprised at that too.

Anybody around Candler/Asheville better back off on the accelerator. Temps dropped to 31 with a freezing mist. My wife about slid all the way off the road. Nothing worse than black ice.