ncjoaquin

5 minutes ago, NavarreDon said:

A very veteran group in here but we all get excited and tend to fall all over every model run (I know I was guilty of it when I lived in Weaverville!). 85’s post is spot on & very realistic. Temper your expectations to avoid disappointment.


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My expectations are always tempered,lol. That is great advice. I will take an inch of snow, but if somehow it sees fit to give me a foot of snow, I will take that as well. I do like all the positive models right now for sure.

4 minutes ago, BretWx said:

I'd play it safe if I were them too... I'd like to be under a warning here, but get the decision. 

I totally agree. I just wonder what they saw to drop it. I haven't seen any model be less. But again, they have forgotten more than I know. Just curious.

1 minute ago, NavarreDon said:

I’m at work And can’t look, is that for the airport or proper? What does your pinpoint forecast call for Jason? Earlier today my old one for Newstock Rd area was saying 3-5”. I think this at a minimum will hold true for north of proper.


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Hey Don!! Mine was earlier today also on my pinpoint. Asheville was 3 to 4 on their map and the dropped to less than 1. So, they aren't very enthused.

GSP latest map and grid forecast shows Asheville at less than an inch. I never understand what has them forecasting way less than every single model. But they are the experts and are right more than they are not. 

I just keep waiting for the rug pull, but it keeps getting better. I love the night time start. That should be a help with the warm soil temps. 

14 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said:

Hahahahahaa I’ve been MIA for like a year. Feels good to just be able to track something 

Lol. Absolutely!! I hope you get a boatload Buddy.

When I see Buddy and Born Again in here, I know my snow model depiction has done down without even seeing it.  

31 minutes ago, Rainforrest said:

The lower end of the town of Rosman. Evacuation’s are taking place. 

That is just depressing. What a mess.

22 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

A elderly woman had to get rescued from her car today because the water was rising so fast.  

Crazy pics Met. That went from nothing to flooding so quickly. That fit the definition of flash flooding.

Worst flooding in Candler since Nov. '77 in my opinion. 5 cars submerged on Smoky Park Hwy. according to WLOS.

Can't get an inch of liquid when it snows, but getting less than inch when it rains any more is almost a surprise,lol. 

9 hours ago, SnoJoe said:

I've had snowflakes today, a little sleet, but mostly a ton of rain (1.22). The mud is back with a vengeance. The rain we've had this winter is about enough to make the decent snow totals moot. My other tab is open to a VRBO site. I can't stand it anymore. 

Agreed!!! I am sick of it.

The rain is only broken up by temporary breaks. Then it rains and rains some more. Sigh. 

Looking at some NWS sites this morning, Little Rock has had 20 inches of snow this month and 15 inches on the ground.

33, lightning, thunder, and heavy rain. Can't see the bushes or trees yet to see if maybe there is some ice up in there. It is funny how the temp knows to stop at 33.  

I haven't even looked outside, but it is 34 here, so I doubt there is anything to look at. 

2 minutes ago, BretWx said:

Me too. I cannot recall ever seeing that much ice forecasted especially along the escarpment. It would be devastating 

Me neither. The last real ice storm I even remember for Central to West Buncombe was in 1996. Huge ice storm with 4 inches of ice cold powder on top. Otherwise, we have had tree toppers and bridge icers. 

2 minutes ago, beanskip said:

Heads up guys, I just talked with Larry Cosgrove, he says the cold air damming is waayyyyy overdone by the models. Should be a cold rain for most ....

;-) :-0

(got to be a board oldtimer to appreciate that one) 

I will beat Brandon and Jeremy to wish an inch of ice on you.

Or not,lol.

30 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

Also we are losing blocking in the AO and NAO regions. The AO is a straight shot towards the positive in and the NAO is hovering around neutral and of course the PAC jet is no damn help staying crappy. 

We were better off with the marginal cold. 

1 hour ago, strongwxnc said:

Awesome Jason! Nothing beats running in the snow. I’m sidelined for a Month or I would have drove up to black mountain this weekend for some action on the trails!


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Oh no!! I hope you get better soon Mark. 

So, I went on a fast 5 mile snow run(not StrongWxnc ultra marathon fast, but old man fast) I love running through the woods. The snow is at it's deepest, and undisturbed, except by the deer. I have been running in the morning at 22 degrees in the dark, so 36 had me down to t-shirt. A beautiful day !!!

Just a little less than 4 inches here. Very pretty. I am glad we have got the snow that we got this winter. It has been a great winter.

Long range models look like garbage, but this snow didn't show up on models until Thursday, so maybe more to come. That severe cold has disappeared for this model cycle. A really bitter cold snow would be a good addition to the winter.

Very heavy snow. Everything covered. Roads included. 

10 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Nice, hope it makes it over the mountain

Me too bud. I hope you get this. Accumulating fast. Pancake flakes. I hope it lasts until at least midnight.

And just like that the sky has opened up. Big flakes, heavy snow. This will do the job. I hope it lasts for a while.