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forkyfork

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by forkyfork

  1. the meso models show a line of convection with heavy rain along the front. that is the worst possible scenario for flash freezing
  2. i think the se wind threat ahead of the front is overblown. soundings show an inversion
  3. this isn't a debate. enjoy being wrong <3
  4. it's warmer because of carbon dioxide emissions
  5. smaller hemispheric cold pool = less of a PV to get trapped under blocking
  6. the overall polar vortex and n hem. cold pool is shrinking. that's probably playing a role too
  7. i wonder if the overall smaller polar vortex and hemispheric cold pool is playing a role
  8. shit happens. what's really shocking to me is that the coast can't even get a moderate event with the ao this negative
  9. let's not tempt ourselves with ideal scenarios just yet
  10. it's a capture scenario and the euro has a bias of being too phased with those
  11. i like elite storms. the pattern coming up has a greater chance of producing one than most others
  12. i want the gfs to show a low over the azores
  13. i'm so impressed by this trend. even the 23rd might work out
  14. we're getting at least one KU imo
  15. if that diving s/w captures the secondary in time we'll get crushed
  16. i gaslit myself into thinking people here can read weather maps
  17. 238 days out of 26636 since 1950
  18. all -4 or lower daily AO indices since feb 2010
  19. NYC - 42EWR - 46MMU - 57ISP- 45SWF - 65
  20. a normal 1800s winter would be top ten cold now
  21. and they're going to keep disappearing
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