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Everything posted by forkyfork
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hrrr has slowly been inching west
- 887 replies
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- 3
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- heavy rain
- flooding potential
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- 887 replies
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- 5
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- heavy rain
- flooding potential
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imo this euro run is more about confirming the ideas on the href than specific precip amounts
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- heavy rain
- flooding potential
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i don't bother doing that anymore because people say you're crying wolf
- 887 replies
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the rgem isn't a CAM so i wouldn't trust its max amounts in this situation
- 887 replies
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- heavy rain
- flooding potential
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we'll have a good idea when the first showers start developing later tonight
- 887 replies
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i have no idea where the band is going to set up
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more starts firing up in snj though
- 887 replies
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- heavy rain
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this would be a serious event if the nam verifies
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Wake Me Up When September Ends..Obs/Diso
forkyfork replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
need a frost for that -
Wake Me Up When September Ends..Obs/Diso
forkyfork replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
ok -
Wake Me Up When September Ends..Obs/Diso
forkyfork replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
the ACATT crowd has been doing this shit for over a decade -
take a wintertime norlun trough and add warm season convection. very difficult forecast
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we could be looking at a significant flood event friday if some of the meso models are correct
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extent gets more and more irrelevant as the ice cover thins out. 15% coverage of thin floes is not the same as 100% coverage of thick ice
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do not want
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another 12-16 hours to go
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that gfs map is already too low in most of nj/nyc and there are 18 hours to go lol
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a training band could pop up at any time before it arrives
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that map is already too low in parts of nj
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it's always looked like a fronto round sat morning/afternoon followed by showery precip and then another round of steady heavy rain with the the remnant low