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Everything posted by forkyfork
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August 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
forkyfork replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
another 90 for ewr -
that's the most reasonable track imo
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so far the euro's track is a carbon copy of the ukmet
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tc's take the path of least resistance which is why i think the track will shift slightly eastward
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the convection is pulling it east a bit
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these don't go far inland as they ride north unless a powerful block/phase forces them
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go with tc climo for this type of system. hugs the coast, best rains from the city west, best winds on central and eastern LI
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dewpoints this high with a warm front involved tend to produce significant events in this area
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the gfs is one of the last models i'd use
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isaias is a stupid name for a tropical system
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this. don't focus on individual model runs
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maue doesn't adjust for the bias on purpose
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good meteorologists use forecast soundings to determine wind gusts
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it didn't. maue made an algorithm that grossly over estimates wind gusts
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still thinking 100 mph gusts on long island?
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only meteorologists should be allowed to see model images
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the canadian barely has a system by the time it gets up here
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"Marginal" SVR/FF risk 3P Today-3P FRI July 30-31
forkyfork replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
i slept right through it -
"Marginal" SVR/FF risk 3P Today-3P FRI July 30-31
forkyfork replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
it shows the same scenario as the hrrr -
tidbits is my favorite site organization wise but the load times are so ****ing slow
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"Marginal" SVR/FF risk 3P Today-3P FRI July 30-31
forkyfork replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
the hrrr has shown storms hitting around 6z for 5 runs in a row -
Summer 2020 Banter and random observations
forkyfork replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
herman cain was a covid denier and now he's dead dead dead -
the euro developed a tropical storm over inland texas from an MCS a few weeks ago. it's been bad with this stuff lately
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