forkyfork
-
Posts
30,307 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by forkyfork
-
looks like about 6 miles northeast of there
-
i was thinking first us landfall
-
sandy
-
now up to 2.15
-
ewr has 1.88 so far according to this https://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droman/meso_base_dyn.cgi?stn=KEWR&unit=0&timetype=LOCAL
-
i think we'll get to 3
-
very nice
-
these little showers are heavier than they appear on radar
-
.95" so far in springfield
-
looks showery for a time after this initial band but the hrrr and radar trends suggest another heavy band around 3-4 pm
-
our good rains are going to come from feeder bands interacting with a warm front overhead
-
the nam shows the low and mid level centers separating. that happened with the 1903 hurricane
-
it winds up north of philly but crosses to its east. i'm done nitpicking the hwrf
-
no it doesn't
-
its initialization is wrong
-
TS Fay - Drought ending Rains and Severe Convection
forkyfork replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
i never want a svr gust imby again after sandy -
i hope not. nobody away from south jersey/delmarva beaches will be getting TS conditions
-
amazing that we're waiting for the center to develop so the models can get a good handle and the storm is already near NC. what a crazy year
-
TS Fay - Drought ending Rains and Severe Convection
forkyfork replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
i think this mostly hugs the coast up until it gets to li. it's hard to push these inland in weak flow environments -
you're paying too much attention to the mini low centers and not the general circulation
-
the hrwf isn't all that different from 6z
-
i think this hugs the coast. tropical systems with relatively weak steering are tough to get far inland
-
i wouldn't use the nam for a tropical system
-
ewr getting nailed again
