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Everything posted by forkyfork
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radar looks pretty good for a quick 1-3" from the parkway west
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we are a few hours away from mayhem
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we're getting tornadoes and 60 mph winds tomorrow amidst one of the hottest summers on record. pinch me
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2" from the city west, 4" out toward the western nj counties
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i'm fine with not getting 6" of rain
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i'm pretty worried about losing power now
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August 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
forkyfork replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
lol -
August 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
forkyfork replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
another 90 for ewr -
that's the most reasonable track imo
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so far the euro's track is a carbon copy of the ukmet
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tc's take the path of least resistance which is why i think the track will shift slightly eastward
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the convection is pulling it east a bit
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these don't go far inland as they ride north unless a powerful block/phase forces them
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go with tc climo for this type of system. hugs the coast, best rains from the city west, best winds on central and eastern LI
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dewpoints this high with a warm front involved tend to produce significant events in this area
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the gfs is one of the last models i'd use
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isaias is a stupid name for a tropical system
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this. don't focus on individual model runs
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maue doesn't adjust for the bias on purpose
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