definitely a thread the needle...but when aren't they?
options
1. strung out fast moving northern stream sends a run-of-the-mill cold front (gfs 6z)
2. potent northern stream digs to TN valley and sets up a coastal and we are in the donut-hole smoking cirrus
3. something in between, (euro)
At least it appears there won't be precip-type issues. Even if someone starts as rain it would be a quick turnover.
I've never seen 500 maps as crazy as they've been. Everything is fast moving and blocky at the same time. If you do model run comparisons beyond 120 hours, the changes and differences are night and day run to run.. Gotta be a nightmare for forecasters.
Me too. My body doesn't handle cold like it use to. Every winter I start to understand more and more why people move south after retirement. Of course I still love a good snow if I'm going to be in this climo anyways.
March 8,9 2008 TWO MONTHS EARLIER
In general I like snowstorms between the window of xmas and the end of January. I also favor duration over intensity. I recall an upper low that parked itself over the area back in the mid 90's that produced steady light snow over the entire weekend and we ended up with 9" by Sunday evening.
I also like a well-forecasted snowstorm that locks in 4 days out, (a true rarity in CMH where we ride the razor's edge with every storm).
Well, I guess it's been 72 hrs. Barring any last minute shift to a deeper, more negatively-tilted trough, this looks like a glorified frontal passage with advisory snow overnight Friday into Saturday. Considering it's March.....yawn.
temps busted cold today, didn't get above freezing. I think the freezing rain threat is looking more likely now...low level cold air is going to be hard to dislodge, especially without a strong low pushing the warm tongue. Hope it turns out to be the usual freezing rain event around here which is usually pretty harmless.
That lull between the first batch of light precip and the bigger follow up batch is what allows levels to warm enough to keep us from getting a slop fest. By the time that second batch comes in it's rain.
This one doesn't bother me. It's a crap storm overall even in the snow sector... no one is getting 'buried'.
last minute trends are for warmer air winning out. Franklin county might be primarily rain.....which is fine with me if the only other choice is sleet/frz rain.