BullCityWx

6z GFS was better but I wasnt impressed with the 0z euro at all. 

3 minutes ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:

As cold as it’s been and is, .10-.20 would be no bueno. 

Well no, it wouldn’t be good. It’s just not a major winter storm at this point is all. Looks like it develops a secondary in the piedmont.

1 minute ago, Blue_Ridge_Escarpment said:

CMC is still icy. GFS is too at the onset, just minimal qpf on the GFS

I’ll have to wait on the QPF but my guess is the CMC is also minimal. It didn’t look very impressive. Either way, it’s not the storm that’s been portrayed for the last 24-36 hours. Advisory level, at best.

Nope, gone on the 0z

Thinking both GEM and GFS are gonna be a no go for Monday.

edit: maybe just the GEM.

As usual, the people who cry bust for hours and hours and hours end up cleaning up.

It looks like we torch after our potential event next Monday. I'm becoming increasingly worried by the cold air being shown to abandon the entire continent in the LR. My biggest fear is it takes a month for us to get back to a favorable pattern and everybody knows your best events happen here before Valentines Day. We'll see but i'm afraid that CLT might get hung with yet another T.

This thing kicks off at the time and temperature the canadian thinks it will, the entire city is going to be a skating rink. 

Just now, griteater said:

Jan to date plus 7 day GFS forecast

It's going to be really difficult to dig out of the hole we're going to create. 

Euro is warmer but honestly, given the event as modeled, I’d run with the Canadian.

3 minutes ago, griteater said:

That's going to be a cold airmass moving in behind the coastal bomb...so, just depends how far south the next system can track. The winter tracking index is above normal so far that's for sure 

It feels like we've barely stopped since that first storm.

That canadian run is bad news. 

2 minutes ago, Lookout said:

same into georgia. 12z runs of the canadian and gfs are looking more bullish. In fact, it could be quite impressive. Despite the initial parent high sliding out, the overall setup should promote increased surface pressures in the damming regions after cooling.  The gfs even appears to see it at this range, which is pretty unusual. 

That is a pretty bad ice storm for Charlotte/Greenville/NE GA as modeled on the canadian. We all know the canadians record on ice storms, too.

GFS has a sizeable event next Monday for a good chunk of western and northwestern NC

People who try and reason against the inevitable NW shift.

12z NAM has potential frost all the way down to West Palm Beach. 

7 minutes ago, Cold Rain said:

Any word on the Weeklies?

looks okay for the next three weeks by my eyes. 

If I haven’t learned anything in 17 years on this board, the people who whine the most will get the best snows.

3 hours ago, griteater said:

Big arctic plunge on Euro mid next week after the cutter 

Control run had a storm forming at 240

6 minutes ago, WidreMann said:

Curiously, the weeklies show it warming up after next week. I suppose it's different ensembles for monthly vs weekly. But it's surprising.

I want to say that the weeklies kept insisting on warmth during that one EPO driven year that was always muted by the modeling.

After hour 18, we don’t make it out of the 20s through the end of the run on the NAM.

HM is a quality follow. I just read that.

This year is starting to remind me of that winter a few years ago where the modeling would keep showing warmth coming in the LR and it would continually get muted.

That Canadian storm is interesting. It would be in the teens, with still some room for evaporational cooling. You’d do some major damage in a case like that.

2 minutes ago, No snow for you said:

I thought that is what this thread was for. 

Sorry, I meant in the main thread.

So ****ing tired of moping posts.