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Everything posted by BullCityWx
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This is totally subjective, but... i would’ve rather had the one big event here(11”) split into two events with cold weather following each.
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OP Euro isnt that enthused but does have about an inch across the mountains and foothills down to about a trace from CLT to about Kernersville. Euro control run is a bit more impressive with 2" around Maggie Valley with just up to an inch along and west of 321.
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Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent
BullCityWx replied to Jonathan's topic in Southeastern States
It could be worse, we could be Oklahoma City. -
I do wonder if we’ll end up with a January like the one we had in the mid-late beginning of the century where the first 15 days or so were really warm and the rest was historically cold.
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January 2019 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion
BullCityWx replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, Little Rock got pasted -
Some very light snow around 288 on 12z FV3 today. well, maybe not as light around Columbia to Florence to Wilmington. This storm would probably put them at their seasonal average or just above
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Agreed. I think two weeks too soon.
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Basically zero EPS support for that solution or any snowstorm where the OP has it painted.
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Yup, have to agree there. I’m okay with 5 sunny, close to normal days coming up too. We need to dry out desperately
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Allan stated on Twitter today he officially has his eye on the event post NYE
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Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent
BullCityWx replied to Jonathan's topic in Southeastern States
As someone who moved from Charlotte, I'd go with Durham over Raleigh any day. -
Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent
BullCityWx replied to Jonathan's topic in Southeastern States
First event of the 2013-2014 season. -
RGEM looks like it’s gonna dump half a foot just west of Charlotte.
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Just want to point out that’s the 18z RGEM
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Man, I’ve seen crazier things kinda like 10” in Durham before December 10th
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The NCEP SREF plume viewer page
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If there was ever a year an ULL could swing through and squeeze out an impressive QPF field, well, Wilmington is almost at 100” on the year.
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SREF Plumes have 3.63 as a mean in Raleigh tomorrow. You’re living dangerously if you use 3k NAM QPF IMO.
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18z RGEM also gives credence to this solution. In other news I may never sleep again.
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Although if that is nudged westward and I end up with the first week of December giving me 20”, I won’t complain ever again.
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Upper Level Lows do crazy things. You never know.
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Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent
BullCityWx replied to Jonathan's topic in Southeastern States
Valentines weekend 2010 and don’t forget about last years coastal event -
I was thinking 86-87(actually I was fairly certain about that one) but was on the fence about the others. I usually go on the premise of you usually get one shot at a good one around here per year and we’re not even really in winter.