Jump to content

BullCityWx

Members
  • Posts

    8,924
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by BullCityWx

  1. And the HRRR nailed the snow line damn near 36 hours out. Outstanding.
  2. Has a convective look on the HRRR
  3. ICON looks like at least another 2-3” on Monday
  4. 18z GFS has me all snow until tomorrow at 18z. We’ll see.
  5. ICON had the same thing at 12z with second round
  6. Tomorrow is gonna be about rates, too. Heavier the snow earlier on the better chance it holds on just a little longer.
  7. Looking at the soundings for MBY(pretty much just south of 85 on the orange/Durham line), it holds the snow sounding longer than last run on the NAM.
  8. Man, I am so jacked for you. Good luck!
  9. That’s some fine science you’re doing right there
  10. The GFS is not only isothermal IMBY but safely so. I really am skeptical to trust it’s thermals but it’s had support from the HRRR/RAP/Euro/ICON so who knows
  11. SREF Mean up to half a foot for RDU and 10” for Roxboro. 8” looks like a good call for Durham.
  12. @Poimen, I’ve been watching the ICON closely since it did so well last year. It’s slowly gone colder the last three runs and this run is the best yet.
  13. Have to like this run if you’re in Chapel Hill or Durham
  14. Modeling does take moistening the atmosphere into effect
  15. 18z ICON extracted data keeps MBY as snow until about 7PM on Sunday. It’s close, real close, to the transition line. You gotta smell the rain I’m telling myself.
  16. For those of y’all who are curious about gulf convection, you don’t want a horizontal (—)line across the gulf. If the storms are lined up like this (/) it can actually add to moisture.
  17. GFS looks like all snow IMBY through 48.
  18. Yeah, I’m thankful to just at 85 tonight
  19. Garbage. They are total garbage. I don’t get why anyone would use them.
  20. Pretty sure the FV3 just put down 2 feet somewhere across the southern piedmont.
  21. You’re so needy. Really digging the trends today. We had one bad model run and the NAM seems to be slowly coming back.
  22. No but sometimes Lake Norman has been rumored to have influence
  23. ICON event also goes until 10PM monday
×
×
  • Create New...