BullCityWx
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Everything posted by BullCityWx
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18z GFS has me all snow until tomorrow at 18z. We’ll see.
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ICON had the same thing at 12z with second round
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Tomorrow is gonna be about rates, too. Heavier the snow earlier on the better chance it holds on just a little longer.
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Looking at the soundings for MBY(pretty much just south of 85 on the orange/Durham line), it holds the snow sounding longer than last run on the NAM.
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Man, I am so jacked for you. Good luck!
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That’s some fine science you’re doing right there
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The GFS is not only isothermal IMBY but safely so. I really am skeptical to trust it’s thermals but it’s had support from the HRRR/RAP/Euro/ICON so who knows
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SREF Mean up to half a foot for RDU and 10” for Roxboro. 8” looks like a good call for Durham.
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@Poimen, I’ve been watching the ICON closely since it did so well last year. It’s slowly gone colder the last three runs and this run is the best yet.
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Have to like this run if you’re in Chapel Hill or Durham
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Modeling does take moistening the atmosphere into effect
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18z ICON extracted data keeps MBY as snow until about 7PM on Sunday. It’s close, real close, to the transition line. You gotta smell the rain I’m telling myself.
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For those of y’all who are curious about gulf convection, you don’t want a horizontal (—)line across the gulf. If the storms are lined up like this (/) it can actually add to moisture.
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GFS looks like all snow IMBY through 48.
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Climo
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Yeah, I’m thankful to just at 85 tonight
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Check please
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Garbage. They are total garbage. I don’t get why anyone would use them.
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Pretty sure the FV3 just put down 2 feet somewhere across the southern piedmont.
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You’re so needy. Really digging the trends today. We had one bad model run and the NAM seems to be slowly coming back.
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Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent
BullCityWx replied to Jonathan's topic in Southeastern States
No but sometimes Lake Norman has been rumored to have influence -
ICON event also goes until 10PM monday
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That ICON run was pretty amazing. 1.2” QPF of snow to begin followed by .76 of freezing rain and then another half foot of snow on top of all of it.
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Why can’t we ban Wilkes?
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My guess is the Canadian has 6-8” of snow here followed by sleet and ice.
