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BullCityWx

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Everything posted by BullCityWx

  1. BullCityWx
    Coldest I’ve ever seen. It’s not even close.
  2. BullCityWx
    Day 7 onward is downright epic on the euro.
  3. BullCityWx
    You clearly know better than the professionals talking about this pattern.
  4. BullCityWx
    Doesn’t seem to be a whole lot of support for the solution the GFS has had for that time period the last two runs. Color me skeptical.
  5. BullCityWx
    I keep hammering this home, too. For those worried about it being too cold: you need less moisture for snow the colder it is.
  6. BullCityWx
    Yes sir. Honestly, in the pattern depicted, I think the next event we get here is a high ratio clipper where we squeeze 3” out of a couple tenths.
  7. BullCityWx
  8. BullCityWx
    My concern with the FV3 is it’s really been struggling since the shutdown. I think @nrgjeffbrought that up yesterday. It’s hard for me to buy anything it’s selling.
  9. BullCityWx
    The GFS has been not as cold as the Euro from the beginning. The euro is exactly as cold as it’s been.
  10. BullCityWx
    RDU has a max of 27 on the 0z euro for next monday.
  11. BullCityWx
    The thing is, things really havent changed at all except operational models in fantasy land.
  12. BullCityWx
    There's a significant cold shot for 36 hours from Sunday Evening until Tuesday. It goes normal, at most, for the next 3-4 days before the hammer drops. The ensembles look as good as they have in years. There's not even really heavy rain totals, 1.5" through 10 days on the euro. I dont understand the cliff diving.
  13. BullCityWx
    I can probably count on one hand the times Matthews did better than where I'm from in Gaston County in major events. 1/25/2000 comes to mind but then? eh.
  14. BullCityWx
  15. BullCityWx
    In agreement there.
  16. BullCityWx
    UKMET does have a little accumulating snow around Florence and Lumberton.
  17. BullCityWx
    Also, think about it this way: the colder your column is, the less moisture you need. If you grow the snow growth zone, you get higher ratios and powder.
  18. BullCityWx
    Yup. That is my philosophy. get me the coldest air i can have and then i'll worry about supression.
  19. BullCityWx
  20. BullCityWx
    Euro
  21. BullCityWx
    We go from 60 degrees at dawn on Sunday to 14 degrees by 1AM.
  22. BullCityWx
  23. BullCityWx
    0z GFS might have had the coldest arctic blast I've ever seen modeled here.
  24. BullCityWx
    The control run of the weeklies bottoms out the -AO. The mean of all is even lower than we see much of the time.
  25. BullCityWx
    That GFS run is the potential this pattern has.
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