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BullCityWx

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Everything posted by BullCityWx

  1. Yes sir. Honestly, in the pattern depicted, I think the next event we get here is a high ratio clipper where we squeeze 3” out of a couple tenths.
  2. My concern with the FV3 is it’s really been struggling since the shutdown. I think @nrgjeffbrought that up yesterday. It’s hard for me to buy anything it’s selling.
  3. The GFS has been not as cold as the Euro from the beginning. The euro is exactly as cold as it’s been.
  4. RDU has a max of 27 on the 0z euro for next monday.
  5. The thing is, things really havent changed at all except operational models in fantasy land.
  6. There's a significant cold shot for 36 hours from Sunday Evening until Tuesday. It goes normal, at most, for the next 3-4 days before the hammer drops. The ensembles look as good as they have in years. There's not even really heavy rain totals, 1.5" through 10 days on the euro. I dont understand the cliff diving.
  7. I can probably count on one hand the times Matthews did better than where I'm from in Gaston County in major events. 1/25/2000 comes to mind but then? eh.
  8. UKMET does have a little accumulating snow around Florence and Lumberton.
  9. Also, think about it this way: the colder your column is, the less moisture you need. If you grow the snow growth zone, you get higher ratios and powder.
  10. Yup. That is my philosophy. get me the coldest air i can have and then i'll worry about supression.
  11. We go from 60 degrees at dawn on Sunday to 14 degrees by 1AM.
  12. 0z GFS might have had the coldest arctic blast I've ever seen modeled here.
  13. The control run of the weeklies bottoms out the -AO. The mean of all is even lower than we see much of the time.
  14. That GFS run is the potential this pattern has.
  15. Things I’d like to see the rest of the winter, ranked. All realistic: 1. Another 6” snowstorm 2. Break the snow drought in Columbia 3. High Temp of 25 or less 4. Low temperature of 10 or less 5. Below zero wind chills
  16. 25 degrees for the high IMBY next Monday if you believe the Euro.
  17. Some backside snow this run for the Triangle and Triad this run.
  18. Looking at the teleconnections, there is a brief spike in +NAO and +AO around 1/23 but they quickly go back negative. The PNA is about neutral. I can definitely deal with that.
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