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BullCityWx

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Everything posted by BullCityWx

  1. I think there's a definite shot at seeing some sleet/snow mix in with the end of the precip from Durham west on 40 tomorrow morning.
  2. Somebody wake up @BIG FROSTY and tell him he got NAMed tonight
  3. Which would lead me to believe that would be mostly sleet, right?
  4. Even though this is simply a GFS fever dream, it feels like a scrimmage so I checked soundings for MBY. The two best things I’ve got: 1. Plymouth State has expanded their GFS soundings! Used to be you could only get them 120 hours out. Now they seem to go for the whole run and in my opinion, they are the best soundings on the Internet. 2. MBY stays safely in the snow/sleet category until the end.
  5. If we kept that look, I would expect a snowier solution(or at least sleet) for most of the piedmont in NC. You dont often see a freezing rain storm that stretches from BHM to RDU.
  6. I dont know how I could improve that storm except slow up the high. Below freezing highs the day before, negative dew points.
  7. Yeah, just thinking about climo with that specific setup, I'd expect mostly snow/sleet here, the NW upstate and in Tennessee with ice in Bama/GA/Midlands SC. It would probably be a really cold one at the surface too with that 1043 high. I'd expect temps to bottom out in the low 20s with that setup.
  8. You know that is one serious damming event when it pushes freezing rain to Birmingham.
  9. Drove the freezing rain all the way west to about Talladega! Wow
  10. A cutter for the first event wouldnt be the worst thing in the world because hopefully it would put down an arctic boundary and that would drive the next event.
  11. bob chill had a nice catch with what looked like the transfer happening near Savannah in that final panel. If that happens it’s snow-ice-snow for lots of us.
  12. 1043 MB high will get the job done. On second look, I think It’s probably more sleet and snow across NC with the ice across SC and NE GA.
  13. Long way out but the last euro panel is probably a significant ice storm.
  14. Probably gonna be a good start to the season for the slopes.
  15. I’m gonna need you to post some clown maps to keep my attention
  16. I would generally trust the NAM with this sort of scenario but I can’t find anything similar on any other model
  17. Usually no but it’s happened before. 11/11/13 is my example. I think we’ll see some flakes in my part of Durham County but hey, flakes in November is a win anytime.
  18. Last time we saw appreciable November snow was 13-14, which is one of the best winters I can remember since 2000.
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