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BullCityWx

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Everything posted by BullCityWx

  1. BullCityWx
    The amount of times we've seen snow with the 850 0º line all the way to Syracuse has to be in the single digits. I can buy errors in the low track for now but I dont know how we make the cold air magically appear.
  2. BullCityWx
    Progress for what? it isnt close anywhere, including the mountains. Not even freezing rain shows up.
  3. BullCityWx
    At this point, I'd almost totally ignore the GFS unless it agreed with the Euro/Ukmet/ICON. It has just been bad with these fantasy storms in the mid range.
  4. BullCityWx
    Which isnt really unusual at all if you're below 2000 feet.
  5. BullCityWx
    Maybe we should give them all a beer. It's nice to see January and February are basically normal. We can work with that.
  6. BullCityWx
    I came across a neat product on weathermodels.com.
  7. BullCityWx
    UKMET says no.
  8. BullCityWx
    I'd say there's just about a 0% chance south of 20 and east of 77 with this event.
  9. BullCityWx
    Ensemble numbers will probably be cut in half this run and there’s only one real big dog in there for the NC/SC Piedmont so your numbers are gonna be skewed by that. 17/21 members have zero snow. Not the sort of ensemble trend you want to see this early in the game.
  10. BullCityWx
    I can only remember one similar situation in 39 years and that was the 3/2009 bowling ball that put down 9” across Lincoln/Gaston/Cleveland counties.
  11. BullCityWx
    The Canadian, UKMET and ICON are all firm no.
  12. BullCityWx
    Agreed. Even though it looks good, until either the Ukie or Euro pick it up it’s fools gold. Nice to look at though.
  13. BullCityWx
    Yeah, you’d think the NW side would be much more enhanced. There’s a high to the NE too. Again, I kind of think of this like a tropical event with this setup. You could see it wring out the atmosphere in a similar way.
  14. BullCityWx
    Somehow manages to miss Columbia because of course it does.
  15. BullCityWx
    Can we keep the bullshit in here and not the discussion thread? I say this every year.
  16. BullCityWx
    Wow said this reminds him of 3/09 and honestly, it does me too. That storm was either rain or snow.
  17. BullCityWx
    That’s not a bad graph at this lead time. Let’s see if we can get some momentum on our side and some agreement.
  18. BullCityWx
    Almost like a tropical system
  19. BullCityWx
    Yep. Heavy snow where it’s cold enough with a narrow transition area.
  20. BullCityWx
    There’s only 2/21 GEFS ensemble members showing any snow before 240.
  21. BullCityWx
    There is literally nothing there
  22. BullCityWx
    There’s lots not to like about that. The high is 400 miles north of where we want it. There’s not a lot of cold air anywhere. The low is too far north.
  23. BullCityWx
    Heard from the in laws in Marion County, AL that they have a pretty decent dusting.
  24. BullCityWx
    59 in Western Durham while it's 75 at RDU
  25. BullCityWx
    Snowing in Tupelo and Haleyville in NW bama.
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