BullCityWx
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Everything posted by BullCityWx
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BUFKIT gives RDU 16.4”
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Hey man, I’m also in Durham in American Village. If you believe the NAM, heavy snow would start 1PM Thursday and snow about an inch an hour until Friday Morning.
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It snows an inch an hour for 12 hours. I’m sold.
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So if you read from left to right: Hour valid on the model run/Date/time of day/temp/dew point/wind direction/speed/precip accumulation in those 3 hours. Below that, you have the precip type. The rest of it is not as important to know.
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This is one heck of an event
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Pulling for y’all.
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That’s a good point. It crossed my mind today. This is about where the euro was at this point in time as well
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SREF plumes went up last run.
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And I think we’re getting a little past the point of usefulness with the ensembles. They generally aren’t given as much weight within 48 hours and we are just about to that point.
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No
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So we traded the Canadian for the GFS.
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It’s like clockwork aint it. just doubled my QPF
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QPF at least doubled in every triangle location. Johnston County might’ve tripled.
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It looked better than this? That’s half a foot of snow from Huntersville to the RDU airport.
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*squinting* what do those letters say?
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I mean, I’ve had sleet at 20 degrees not because there was a warm layer but because the dang moisture was too shallow. If it can find it, it usually does!
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And generally, I’d agree with you but it would take some doing to wreck my sounding. Could it happen? Totally. Is it likely as modeled? I don’t think so.
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As far as I know, the only way you can see that is on the ARL Meteograms page using the sounding text.
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Yeah I corrected myself there.
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I can’t argue that but with that sounding, I’d imagine the only way we’d sleet is if our moisture got too shallow, right?
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Matt, for the life of me, I can’t figure out how people are complaining about this run if you’re almost anywhere north of 74 in NC. What do they want?
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Good luck with that sleet diagnosis
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Half a foot of snow has fallen by 0z from roughly Huntersville to Morrisville and it’s still coming down hard at hour 60 on the 3K
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Which would hang around forever as we all know sleet does
