BullCityWx
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Everything posted by BullCityWx
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GFS went back up to nearly half a foot IMBY. My guess is we got lucky and the model thinks we caught a band.
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.25 QPF here this run with .85 just 45 miles away in Siler City. Totally cool with that right now.
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Same sort of concept as a tropical storm, totally agree.
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@oconeexman and @burrel2 getting nammed at 72.
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Three chances of snow in 15 days with an arctic plunge at the end. I liked that run.
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It’s funny that the RGEM is much more bullish on this event. Is it sniffing out a colder atmosphere than it’s big brother?
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There’s a QPF cut this run on the GFSE by about 1/3rd so while there’s less on the means, I’m fairly sure that’s a product of not warmth but just less QPF.
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Yeah, I’d also add the GFSE and ECENS because they have all been more consistent.
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Might as well flip a coin
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Just gonna leave this here
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It’s been so awful that I don’t know how people can be too up or too down about whatever solution it spits out.
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I know we have to acknowledge it’s existence but to be honest, the GFS has been so awful that I treat it like the ICON.
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RGEM had a 3” stripe from the triad over to NW Durham county with probably another 2-3” to go.
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Looked at the sounding for AKH at hour 84. other than one layer at .1, the sounding looks okay. You could ask for a bigger DGZ but it starts at 600MB. Probably some 6:1 ratios with what I saw.
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I’m so old I can remember when a trend was like a days worth of runs.
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I’ll take my chances with this look four days out.
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#2 CIPS analog is 1/3/2002.
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If you’re south of 40 in Wake, I’d be a little concerned but that’s just geography and climate.
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There’s a trend every six hours. I don’t understand, we have the best GEFS and EPS mean we’ve had since jump with this thing.
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Define “central N.C.” because things here in Durham look as good as they have yet. I’d say the same for Chapel Hill, Hillsborough and Wake north of 540.
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@burrel2 we did the same thing in Gastonia on 3/2009.
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Look at Durham. 1.5” near the airport while there’s about 9” in Rougemont.
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Ha! Y’all did okay, most of the foothills and mountains(even N of 85 in the upstate) was roughly 6+
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Almost like a deform band forms from @jburns house to my house.
