BullCityWx

Big ZR -> IP -> SN on the 12z euro. Lets see if ensembles agree.

Pretty classic NC event as depicted.

Some of yall need to learn how to not get too high or two low with each model run.

Nice snow on Day 9 of the Euro.

Thunder snow in Roxboro. 1M VIS at KLHZ. This over performed for this part of the state.

It just got really dark and windy here and then it started snowing. Pretty wild.

Yeah that was lights out for someone if it was right

Snowing north of 40 on the euro at day 6.5

Dont sleep on tomorrow.

The timeframe on the canadian storm is the one we've seen on a few models. Nice caravan of high pressure above it too.

I know that people are going to think that the 12z Euro looks awful. Yes the storm does head north and yes it does rain and yes it's warm for a day or two. However, if the pattern we think is coming arrives, the 12z Euro just put down 30" over our source regions of air. As long as Canada gets cold and things evolve like it looks like they will, we're eventually going to hit cherries across the slot machine. We focus, and I am guilty of this as much as anyone else, on snow maps but it's fairly easy to catch the pattern evolution here if you ask me.

It looks okay so far. I've seen some thundersnow on the extracted output so that means it could be very summer like sort of thing.

3k NAM has snow showers rotating through Chapel Hill and Durham around 18z Saturday. Almost reminds me of the bit of snow we had in early December. We're about 12 hours from the end of the HRRR being in range and that is what really nailed those locations from that far out.

Thanks! To be fair, I had some great "hobby mentors" from back in the day.

Thank you. looking forward, several models have snow showers for the western triangle and triad on Saturday.

Control run would be a snow to ice to snow solution for many.

Me too. I feel like this is the old board and our forum is the "new" board. Thanks yall.

Mid range event still there on the 18z. Snow confined mostly east of Burlington.

I think that is the only vendor that has that data.

He’s excellent at mid range pattern recognition. I’ve never even a big fan of his in the short range.

There's still the same amount of interest on the GEFS for next Tuesday and Wednesday but there is significant interest in the same time period the Euro has this event.

That aint what I've been hearing I'd take the synoptics of that event as depicted 1000% of the time.

Yeah, looks like one of those classic late 80s storms that get TN and NC.

Temps in the Mid 20s with potential for ratios north of 40 though.