One thing I've noticed in NAM extracted data is a lot of locations are getting down to 32. Little things like that can change the game with this thing.
Honestly, the place I like the most not in the mountains or VA with this is from roughly @burrel2's house to Charlotte. They might have the best timing with regards to temps and precip.
Look, if you remember the last event, I think it's going to play out very similar except with more snow to the southwest. If you get under a good band, you've got a shot at a decent event. If you dont get under a band, you wont do as well.