Yea not even get remotely invested in this till Fri or Sat. About this time with current storm I was in bulleyes then to Iowa it went. Lol. Hopefully this storm won't putter out as fast as this current storm. Sad we can't get strengthening storms this winter. It's like well I hope this one will weaken slower. Lol. But here's to Euro/Gem being right! Would be nice to see areas south of I80 get some love for a change but can't deny trends this winter so I'm sure it will find a way to push north.
Models have done abysmal with this. They kind of picked up on the morning one but I didn't expect one tonight again. We won't even get an inch of snow. Looks like a glaze of sleet and ice with a dusting. Dry air FTL
No idea why the news is still saying 1-3in here. We will be lucky to hit an inch. Going to get dry slotted for 2nd time today. Lol. And the dude complaining in CR can shove it. You been spoiled all season. Nearing end of January and haven't even surpassed winter storm warning criteria for season total. Lol
We always fall right on the gradient here. Blows my mind. Wouldn't shock me if we missed mostly everything but holding hope hrrr/rap are right. Lol. At this point I would use hrrr/rap for guidance and not gfs, euro, nam.
Models last night were hinting at this morning wave staying south and kind of dry slotting a bit into the afternoon before it filled in. Wasn't sure on it materializing like that but sure looks like it will. Curious if this will impact our amounts a lot.
This whole first slug of moisture looks to stay pretty south. Originally looked like we would see two waves but looking more like one that starts this afternoon
TWC should call this Winter Storm Trashcan. Man trends for my area are just downright depressing. Lol. I can't manage a decent snow this winter. Hoping for more ice at this point.
I'm wondering if moisture is being under modeled since we were missing crucial sampling this morning. I know the trends are for this to weaken a bit faster but moisture feed into system should still be sufficient.
You read my mind! Lol. Would rather it shift far away then be a miss by miles. Feel like Peoria is too far north to get big ice and too far south to get big snow. Sounds about right. Only need a small shift either way though to change getting big ice or big snow.
Euro makes no sense. It has the surface low in southern IN then next frame jumps up near Peoria unless that's a new low. The precip shield literally just like vanishes as it heads east. That confluence is a killer. Bout ready to punt this storm for my area. Hoping after more sampling it could adjust south again but not likely. This apparently is eastern Iowa's winter.