Jump to content

Radtechwxman

Members
  • Posts

    2,324
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Radtechwxman

  1. Yeah was about to say 12z euro is pretty disappointing compared to other models unless you live in the golden area of this winter I80 north
  2. The 12km nam looks decent for Wed. It's evolution for Thurs is odd. There's like a wall of snow heading towards us Thurs then it just disappears. 3km nam keeps it mostly I72 south.
  3. Definitely seems like this one is trending south. Hoping for better potential this weekend into next week.
  4. Looks more like scenario 1 more likely. Lol. Models did bad today. Now models aren't showing much here Wed and Thurs but is that trustworthy after today?
  5. Yea I did better with this wave then the clipper on Sat. Ha. Easily 2in. Maybe a bit more. GFS seems to want to really push the storm track way south after mid week which is possible but other models are more generous bringing snow pretty north into IL. Nice band coming together across eastern Iowa and Western IL.
  6. You been lucking out with some nice bands. Bypassing here per usual. Lol
  7. Lololololol. First was missing everything north now with the cold air mass building in probably will be missing a lot south
  8. Definitely lower than I expected. Less qpf and lower ratios. Better ratios were in that weenie band just to my nw. Got the tail end of it. We actually saturated pretty rapidly. System must of came in drier than originally thought.
  9. Got like 1.5-2in here. Definitely think the ratios weren't as good here. Snow was like pixie dust a while. Once we got into a good band towards the last few hours of snow, flake size improved but was a little too late.
  10. The magnitude and longevity of this arctic outbreak is a feat in itself. Can't recall the last time I saw a pattern like this. Like Baum said, predicting low amplitude impulses in this flow is fickle. Hoping we can either get several small events or one decent one next week. It's a battle between cold surging south and moisture surging north. Unfortunately the cold will eventually win out and suppress the storm track. Hopefully we can squeak out a few nice storms before then.
  11. Crazy. Just goes to show you even with very cold temps, crappy ratios are possible if your best omega doesn't line up well with DGZ.
  12. It surprisingly saturated pretty quick. Flake size not great but coming down at a decent clip. A heavier band to my nw is trying to sink se very slowly. Hoping for 1-2in at this point but maybe can luck out with 2-3in if I get into some banding.
  13. Well this is sounding disappointing. Having a feeling the very dry antecedent air mass is a big culprit. Saw where RH wasn't quite ideal in the snow growth zone.
  14. GFS is all over the place with this storm. Wouldn't trust it for now. Every run is drastically different.
  15. A very dry air mass to overcome first. 15/3 here now. Oof. Hoping saturation won't eat up too much of the snow band. Ratios should be nice though once it commences.
  16. As that cold dome really builds south one would think but then it will probably miss me south. Lol. Just not my winter. Oh well. At least there's plenty of snow chances and some extreme cold to follow. I will take what little I can get
  17. Imagine that. Something that favors northern IL. Lol. Now looks like that frontogenic band will bypass here and we only get a narrow west to east band a few hours. Sunday clipper may actually have better potential here
  18. Globals really struggle with these clippers and underestimate what high ratios with minimal moisture can do. Hrrr/rap have been pretty consistent.
  19. The Never Accurate Model strikes again. Issue with nam with amounts seems to be a much narrower snow band so much less duration.
  20. Yea GFS seems lost. Barely shows anything till Mon. And seems to have toned down that as well. 12z RDPS looking pitiful like GFS. Hi res seems to overall be in good consensus for 2-4in
  21. I would definitely start trusting those more over globals at this range. RAP was definitely stronger system. Deeper sfc low and further north.
×
×
  • Create New...