Jump to content

Radtechwxman

Members
  • Posts

    2,324
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by Radtechwxman

  1. 18z nam is looking decent. Taking on a nice neg tilt at h5. But it's also nam and its long range.
  2. The closest I could get is 24hr 10:1 or Kuchera on pivotalwx. However it cuts it close on some areas catching everything
  3. Yeah I have as well. I was speaking more from the low strength perspective. Before it was sub 1000mb and even strengthening. However, now it seems to be more of a steady state low 1000's but in the scheme of things it doesn't really impact how it's going to evolve here in the Midwest/Ohio Valley.
  4. Euro has more of a spread the wealth light to moderate snow event for many with a steady state low. Seems like the energy is really going into the costal transfer and ramping up a big nor'easter. But curious if we really will get the snow shield to expand that nw.
  5. Do you think sampling of the upper wave will give any meaningful changes? Seems like anymore it's a crapshoot depending on how many RAOB sites it passes over. Definitely would be more beneficial to get a neutral to negative tilt sooner and an h5 wave to dig less south. Esp since now this storm is being driven solely by the southern stream wave with no phasing with the northern stream wave.
  6. That one was ridiculously north days out. At least this one looks realistic. Would be nice to see that 500mb low dig less than it is. Looking at models looks like we could have a sampling by late tomorrow and for sure by early Sun. So hopefully that will help models hone in on track. I'm definitely sucked into this storm already but never got my hopes up fully expecting a downward trend like the Xmas Storm. But maybe this one can surprise us. Not holding my breath though.
  7. 0z euro not very pretty. Overall model guidance tonight not trending in right direction for a good storm or good hit for northern parts of subforum.
  8. Totally agree. I always put more faith in euro and its ensemble guidance over gfs. Though with the Christmas storm every model was a trainwreck. Lol. Curious to see if euro holds where it is or if it goes se like 0z gfs.
  9. And the Europeans even more so making us staying up so late to see 0z runs at almost midnight. Lol
  10. Hopefully not a "trend" and maybe just a bad run. But definitely not out of the realm of possibilities. Probably going to see a lot of flip flopping until the system gets sampled which I'm guessing won't be till end of weekend or early next week.
  11. Everything will be wagons west today. Get our hopes up this weekend. This start the bleed se. Lol. #Christmasstormvibes
  12. Never good when you're rooting for goofus/canadian models to be right. Lol. Would be nice if euro would bump nw more in line with them but that would just be too nice
  13. Because it's something to track whether it ends in heartbreak or not for much of the forum. This 1st disturbance this weekend is meh. This one has real potential but equally high bust potential or just simply a miss for a good chunk of our northern subforum.
  14. Haha. Cuz I'm more use to disappointment than snowstorms panning out. PTSD. Also there's too many damn GHD day storms to remember. Lol. As much as I want to hope it ends up as nw as gem and gfs I'm not getting my hopes up because a more se like euro also is just as plausible. All comes down to the phasing.
  15. Where did that one end up? I lost track after so many GHD storms. Lol
  16. I don't think you picked up on my sarcasm sir. Lol. I know my area was never really in play. At best looked like rain/snow mix ending in light snow accumulation. But I was joking with torch because latest runs look mostly like a miserable cold rain.
  17. Yep not expecting anything. Story of this winter so far. Lol
  18. You and me both. Has not been a kind winter thus far. Gfs a little more hopeful but it's gfs. Lol
  19. Agreed. 12z gfs looks like only model doing anything meaningful and that isn't saying much.
×
×
  • Create New...