I never did understand that. The runs before they upgraded overnight were already showing significantly lower amounts. Even an advisory is a stretch for this in most areas.
Hrrr has some hope with deformation band filling in later as upper energy approaches and sfc low pulls away. I'm skeptical but we shall see.
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Last few winters have been rough. Either getting missed or last second downtrend.
They finally downgraded us to WWA. This is definitely a terrible bust. Hoping hrrr is right about snow filling in later.
Definitely a little bummed this current system isn't going to amount to much here then possibly could get a rainer from this next system. Not what I was expecting from this pattern. Lots of time for change but my hunch is this will be north. WAA snows might miss north. I'm hoping for some wrap around accumulation at least.
Feel like this may end up more north since snow pack from current system going to be more north now with snow busting further south today because of dry slot. Could miss out on waa snows with further north track but hoping I won't get all rain with deformation band.
Well this going to be a bust of epic proportions here. Massive dry slot in MO going to end snow very early. Snow quality has been minimal as well. I will be shocked if we get 1-2in. This winter can piss right off. Have a feeling weekend storm gunna end up more north now because of limited snow pack laid down now.
Models definitely seem to struggle more these days. This is probably worse downfall in a system I seen in a long time.
Simulated reflectivity did look like it should have produced more snow than it did
It's unfortunate how it kind of dries up further south. Only looks like 3-4in of solid snow rates. Curious how much this drying comes to fruition. Hoping for a better deformation band to materialize.