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Radtechwxman

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Everything posted by Radtechwxman

  1. Temps near coast in upper 60s. That's pretty stable for hurricane. Cool and much drier air. May see quite a bit of weakening before it fully comes on shore
  2. Yeah looks like its downfall could happen fast and it being a small storm make it even more susceptible
  3. Nhc has it hitting 115 now. Not surprising based on structure improvement. 105 mph now and 969 mb.
  4. 0z hrrr and nam absolutely shred this just before landfall. Halficane
  5. Going to pass over that warm eddy to with much improved structure now. Shear shouldn't be too bad overnight. I could see a cat 3 peak potentially. By afternoon tomorrow it will start feeling effects of much higher shear and eventually drier air towards coast.
  6. I was not expecting 100 mph at this advisory especially with little to no change in pressure. Isaias is looking better on satellite now. Tonight probably best chance to overperform with that warm eddy and diurnal favorable timing for intensification before shear starts to offset everything.
  7. Definitely has the feel of an underperformer today. Seems like stuff already popping for 2nd round. We need more time to recover. But shear is stupid so something will probably happen on boundary.
  8. Hrrr has terrible hand on current trends. Can't really trust it. Cams may not be reliable today. Will be a watch sfc obs and satellite day. I think best threat will be between I74 and I72 today. I think I80 done.
  9. Agreed. Not sure what SPC is seeing. That cf really surges south fast.
  10. Shouldn't this say 3/26/26 because it's tomorrow?
  11. Rooting for you man! I know you're long overdue. You had a nice weenie band earlier. Pivoting bands look to be setting up over your area.
  12. Was just thinking same thing. Heart of metro may miss out on heaviest totals
  13. I do think cams particularly hrrr are underdone with snow. 1-2in I think is a good bet here. Hrrr barely had half inch.
  14. 0z gfs drastically different than cams for areas further south
  15. After 80s on Tues and storm chasing I'm good. Lol. Im so over cold. But would of been cool to get a historical blizzard like this.
  16. Yeah 0z not kind to IL. Lol. Another non event. Ready for spring to stick around
  17. You're in for an epic storm. If i didn't have work Monday I would definitely venture north to document this.
  18. You clearly don't understand how strong cold air advection works especially behind a very powerful sfc low. Will there be massive snow totals down here? No. But there will be snow and it won't take much to get blizzard conditions. A strong cf is going to surge east and as the upper dynamics swing overhead you will get a deformation band stretching far south behind the low.
  19. DVN mentioned the B word. Will be on edge of snowfall gradient here. Shocker. Lol.
  20. I feel your pain. At least you turned around and got something. We were close for Pontiac and saw ground circulation. By time we saw storm was planting a big one we were too far west. I will forever regret that decision.
  21. Did you get on storm later further east or did you see the Kankakee tornado and massive hail? We were on that storm by Pontiac. Got a brief touchdown with wickedly rotating wall cloud. Then storm just quit. We followed it a while. It got an elevated/outflow look and look terrible on radar and I figured it was getting into the more stable air north of boundary. We headed west and boy was that a mistake. One of my biggest chase mistakes of my career. This will sting a while.
  22. Disregard nam. As usual it's way too cool with the sfc temps. Why it doesn't look good for storms. Not enough to break cap. It isn't going to be as cool as it shows.
  23. You need to be banned from forum for this comment. No room for hate in here. Disgusting comment.
  24. This banding has stuck around a while and longer than I anticipated. Nice change after pixie dust all afternoon.
  25. Could this please stay over me for hours. Great flake size and rates now.
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