cyclone77
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Everything posted by cyclone77
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I'm ready for Spring. Bring on fishing, golfing, thunder, getting bit by mosquitoes. Tracking underachieving POS winter systems is already getting old lol.
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DVN forecaster doubled down earlier this eve, and that resulted in an epic fail. Appreciate the enthusiasm though.
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Thermal ridge is def the most interesting aspect of this little system for us. Temp is up to 30 here, a 13 degree jump from earlier this eve. Just 20 miles sw MLI is at 36.
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Light snow the past hour or so, got a few tenths looks like.
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Sky is getting much brighter now as ceilings lower, think we're getting closer to top-down saturation. Was 17 earlier this eve, but has bumped up to 23. EDIT: First flakes now coming down
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Ripping virga atm. Nice surface thermal ridge out in IA, with 40 in Ames and just a few county tiers north in Mason City it's 12 degrees.
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^ I'll take the outlier GEM please.
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Another tick north on the latest Euro. Fits the pattern of every system this year, QPF dwindles in the final 24-36hrs before the event. In this case it's just a shifting of the storm track. Looks better for Rockford/Chicago peeps though. For the rest of the winter I'll just take whatever the models are showing at ~24-30hrs out and assume we'll get 40-60% of whatever they're showing at that time frame and that should be fairly accurate.
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1-3 still looks on tap tomorrow night, although models have bumped a bit northeast the past few runs. Hopefully no more bumps northeast with tomorrow night's, as the Mon system is out of reach for this area.
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-10 here this morning which ties coldest of season so far. Last night's Euro showed -teens here next Wed.
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2-3" of fresh powder looking likely for the QCA with the Saturday night clipper. The Monday one looks to mostly miss northeast.
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Already at the point forecast low of -6 here. Looks like we may have a shot at beating our previous coldest temp of the season tonight which is -10.
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Felt like Miami beach out there today with temps above 40. Blood has def thickened over the winter despite my best efforts to thin with alcohol.
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Very nice. Were you guys expecting that much there, or did it sort of ramp up at the last minute?
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As impressive as the Buffalo snow is tonight it can't compare with our 2"/18hr snowfall from the other day.
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Winter 2021-22 Short/Medium Range Discussion
cyclone77 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Best word to describe the medium range is hopeless. -
Lamest 2" event I've ever seen, but after 18 hours of very light snow we managed best I can tell average of 2.0".
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1.2" here with light snow still falling. Both DVN and MLI made it over 3".
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Looks like maybe an inch. Haven't done measurements for awhile though. Lots of blowing of what little we got.
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0.8" here.
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Up to 0.3". Snow started sticking to pavement finally around 4pm. Little pixies continue to rain down.
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Well we're up to our first tenth. Even though it's below freezing paved areas 100% wet, even unsalted.
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Tracking the drought and resulting 100 degree heat this summer should be entertaining though.
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Yeah been like a white mist the past hour. Still a T. Euro shows best surge of precip arriving this eve so we'll see lol.
