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cyclone77

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Everything posted by cyclone77

  1. cyclone77
    New Euro less ominous than previous runs for the DVN area. 50-55mph wind gusts for most of the cwa, with the highest gusts to near 60 out in the northwest cwa. Perhaps a shift more towards what the high-res models have been advertising all along, a further northwest position of higher winds. The enthusiast part of me wants the GFS 70mph+ winds to verify, but the homeowner part of me is kind of hoping the high-res/new Euro model solutions pan out lol.
  2. cyclone77
    Insanity. 8" of snow on the ground with 5% tornado probs. Not to keep ripping on Broyles but wonder what he thinks of this outlook lmao.
  3. cyclone77
    That is insane. We've had many 60+mph gradient wind events over the years. The event in November 98 was probably the most impressive one that I've experienced, and there were gusts pushing 70mph with that. If we can get above 70mph with this that's extremely impressive. The GFS is downright scary to be sure. High-res models continue to be less ominous, with the highest winds generally staying well northwest of the DVN/LOT cwas other than the brief window with the precip/fropa.
  4. cyclone77
    18z GFS very ominous tomorrow evening into early overnight for the parts of DVN/MKX/LOT regions. Shows 70-76mph gusts from eastern Iowa through parts of northern IL into far southeast WI. Fully expecting power to be going out tomorrow night here.
  5. cyclone77
    Pretty cool to see 5% tor probs in the area where over a foot of snow fell a few days ago. Still solid snow cover on the ground there too.
  6. cyclone77
    Broyles forecasts 325 out of 365 day3-8 SPC outlooks per year.
  7. cyclone77
    18z Euro with 65mph+ gusts over the northwest DVN cwa Wed eve now. The Euro gust forecasts are usually a slight bit on the conservative side in most cases from what I've seen, so it would indicate potential 70 mph winds if the 18z works out. The high-res models move the highest winds further north as the low center is modeled further north. The 3km NAM goes nuts and drops the surface low below 970mb as it heads into Canada Wed night lol.
  8. cyclone77
    Just jaw dropping wind forecasts showing up on the models. Euro has a pocket of 70-80mph surface wind gusts moving from northern KS into Iowa Wednesday afternoon/eve. If those areas escape precip earlier in the day there's gonna be a hell of a dust storm out in open areas I'd imagine.
  9. cyclone77
    Haha Broyles overruled.
  10. cyclone77
    The Euro is forecasting craziness behind the front out in southwestern Iowa later Wednesday afternoon. Dews crash from near 60 down to near 10 degrees, with 60-70mph gradient winds. Gonna be a wild late afternoon/early evening from Omaha to Des Moines.
  11. cyclone77
    Apparently Broyles not too impressed with Wed lol.
  12. cyclone77
    DVN has 71 in the point for Wed which would tie the all time high for December at MLI. Dewpoints look like they'll be AOA 60 degrees as well, which makes reaching that temp even more impressive. Wednesday evening is looking pretty wild with whipping south winds possibly up to 50 mph with temps/dews holding in the mid-upper 60s until at least midnight. Out in central/western Iowa the Euro is advertising 60-65 mph gradient winds early to mid evening behind the cold front.
  13. cyclone77
    When we're debating the sun angle in December we've hit a new low lol.
  14. cyclone77
    As the deep snow rapidly melts this week it'll really show up on satellite who got in on that death band in the southern MSP metro.
  15. cyclone77
    Had a brief period of flurries around daybreak.
  16. cyclone77
    5hrs ago...This is the same storm that went on to hit Mayfield and others. Quite the long tracker unfortunately.
  17. cyclone77
    Big-time overachiever here today. Picked up almost an inch of badly needed rain. Had several rounds of thunder as well.
  18. cyclone77
    I'm hoping the 3km NAM is correct in giving us a quick half inch of rain prior to dry slot intrusion. If HRRR verifies a tenth or so would do it lol. Looks like a burst of flurries possible around daybreak Sat. Storm system doesn't get it's act together soon enough to give this area anything notable.
  19. cyclone77
    70 in December, -30 in January.
  20. cyclone77
    Luckily our 0.3", and MLI/DVN both 0.2" kept us out of that gray area lol.
  21. cyclone77
    Interesting tidbit @Hoosier will probably like. All-time max in Dec at MLI is 71. That was in early Dec '98, less than a month from the New Years blizzard.
  22. cyclone77
    Looks like a few showers/dry slot/flurries for this area with this. Top 3 event in the bag for fall/winter season so far.
  23. cyclone77
    I'm all in on the 70 degree train. If we gon torch lets torch!
  24. cyclone77
    I feel bad for anyone who actually gets in on the thread the needle event as it will vanish quickly much like an April snowfall. Takes a lot of the fun out of the event IMO.
  25. cyclone77
    Down to 6 here. Today's 20s felt considerably colder with the very gusty winds all day. Can tell my body definitely hasn't acclimated to it yet.
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