cyclone77

Looks like the next system of consequence will be next weekend. Looks like it may be a rainer for most of us, but at least it's something.

18z GFS has a nice hit for Hawkeye around the 270hr mark. Yeah it's about two weeks away, but that's about all there is to talk about lol.

I guess from now on we'll just consider December an off month, and if something of note happens consider it a big win lol.

zzzzzz

Long ways off but it never gets old seeing big storms like that show up in the long range. Luckily we have another 11 days to get that to trend a bit northwest.

Definitely looking very windy late Tue night through Wed. Looks like 50-60mph wind potential for this area points east Wed. The Euro indicates another big wind maker for the weekend as well.

Yeah looks like a nice 35-40 degree rainer.

I'd like to place a bid for this model run.

Maybe it was a typo, and he meant to type big lizzards instead.

Looking forward to some more mood flakes Sun night/Mon morning.

Cold and dry.

Wagons south!

http://weatherdaddy.us/weatherdaddy/index.html?q=61265&makeDefault=on

Man, every time I see your user name this always pops in my head lol.

Posted this in the lakes sub, but guess I'll post it here as well. My time lapse from near Nelson MO, or about 30 miles west of Columbia MO.

Interesting to see your perspective. I saw those same cu bubbling up, but they were southeast of where I was.

For two runs in a row now the EC has a relatively decent setup over the eastern Dakotas/western MN for Friday. Hopefully it's on to something as the GFS is quite different. Decent mid-level flow arrives atop a plume of deep moisture/instability. Wind profiles look pretty respectable. Something to watch anyway.

Don't know if this was ever posted here, but this is pretty damn sad. Her brother died after graduating from high school just before the tornado hit.

Something interesting I just noticed for the first time. Looking at the 2234z scan you can already see the rapid intensification of the meso just off the surface. The 1.5° tilt shows over 170kt g2g, compared to a broad 100kt g2g at the lowest tilt (0.5°). The next scan at 0.5° at 2239 jumped up to about 180kt g2g. Definitely a good example of why it's important to keep an eye on the various tilts. 0.5° 1.5°

Don't know if this one was posted yet. Sort of an interesting perspective here shot at the University of Alabama. The video starts about 15min before the tornado moves past when it was still raining. It's interesting watching the updraft base/wall cloud/tornado appear out of the rain of the FFD.

Wow, that's real close. Just by looking at GE the damage just northwest of that location looks very bad.

Wonder how close this was to the EF-5 damage that occurred near the high school.

I remember looking through Tim Marshall's pics on FB awhile back from Joplin. There was a picture of a missing man hole cover in the street. I thought that was amazing in itself, but if there were 30 more instances like that, that's really amazing.

Amazing stats. It's great that the person that was rescued on Tuesday was in fact rescued, but man that had to be hell up until the rescuing. The missing man hole covers is interesting as well.

Yeah his presentation was very interesting. His perspective/evaluation of the structural failures from an engineering standpoint was quite eye opening. A lot of structures failed under relatively low wind loads. The Franklin Tech building especially. I remember seeing some before photos of that building, and it appeared to be a very strong, well built building. Tim's survey revealed some interesting/startling weaknesses in the structure of that facility. After Tim's presentation he answered a few questions from the audience. One question brought up the impact on how much debris loading had on structural integrity. Also, the extreme amount of debris swirling in the large tornado no doubt contributed to the accelerated failure of structures that may not have failed, or failed as quickly without the aid of added wind-blown debris. Such a large tornado moving over a densely populated location will no doubt lead to greater damage than would normally be expected relative to wind velocity, as the added debris will surely aid in damage/wind load on structures within the circulation. All of that could conceivably open a big can of worms on how much debris loading in an urban environment can impact EF-scale values in a positive direction, but in the end all that really matters to most is the damage the tornado does (EF scale damage).