cyclone77

Yeah, I was rather uncomfortable being in the middle of the highest snow totals for so many runs. Would rather be on the edge one way or the other at this range lol. Would hate to root for a slightly weaker/further southeast system, but if that what it takes to get into the good snows vs dry slot, I'll take it. Based on the relative weirdness with the phasing of this system we will probably see little run-to-run changes right up until the day of the storm. So basically like every other system this winter ha.

I can go for another bout of 34 and rain. Would like a dash of sleet thrown in this time though please.

Sounds pretty exciting. Hopefully a ribbon of 1-3" can be deposited for a lucky few.

Lol. They need to just cut their losses and decommission the current version of the GFS, and put the old version back in use. Time to go back to the drawing board boys. post a photo online

As expected the HRRR from yesterday was way too warm that far north. If we could have had slightly better WAA today ahead of the front this could have been a nice little thunder event at least.

HRRR builds enough cape (200-400J/kg) to fire off some thunderstorms over the east half of IA into western IL tomorrow afternoon/eve. Temps are about 10 degrees warmer than other guidance shows, so chances of that happening are very low. If the HRRR were somehow right there would actually be a low-end risk for severe out in that area given decent shear profiles.

Yeah here as well. Two weeks from today it will be met spring. I'm ready for some thunder.

-11 here. Across the river at Clinton they are at -14. Black River Falls WI down to -33. EDIT: Just hit -12 here.

Already at -5 here, which is the coldest of the season so far, and the 2nd below zero day of the season. Black River Falls WI is down to -24.

Lots of snow blowing in from the open fields to the west today. Some pretty deep drifts back by the tree line. Definitely feels like deep winter out there today.

55 degree difference in wind chill right now between Des Moines and Estherville IA. Des Moines chill is +27, while Estherville is way down at -28! Not all that far of a distance apart relatively speaking.

Some pretty nasty wind chills up in North Dakota/northwest MN this morning. At Grand Forks ND they have a temp of -9, with winds gusting to 52mph. Wind chill there is -40.

Yeah I feel like a cat endlessly chasing after some kind of toy. For a bit you can tell it feels kind of stupid for continuously chasing it, but then quickly resumes chasing after it.

Just 2.5 more weeks till met spring.

Looks like one last chance Fri or Sat morning. We've only had one subzero day here (Jan 19 @ -2), and a few zero lows. Looks like -5 is possible Fri morning, especially if we can manage to lay down some fresh powda..

Getting some snizzle, with a bit of frizzle early this morning. Big difference between here and northern IA. Temps in the upper 20s here, whilst Mason City is at a bone chilling -3.

zzzzz. Bring on spring. Let's hope that next winter delivers a warning criteria event to more than two members outside of the lake belts.

Still early, but I'm leaning towards a D or D- winter for a grade unless we can get a quality event between now and March. Even though we have a good shot at getting close to avg if we can muster another 10", it's been a very unsatisfying winter. Almost every snow event has been at night, and there's just not been much to get excited about overall this season. Systems downtrending in the final 48hrs has been an unfortunate theme this winter. We need a good widespread winter storm with some balls to wipe away the lameness that dominated this season.

@Hoosier Looks like my call came right away lol.

Looking forward to tracking the next strung out pos later this week/weekend.

Damn, that's substantially warmer than it got here, 40 degrees. Was enough to melt off some more snow though, and now down to 1-2" or so.

23.0", which is pretty decent considering how fickle these systems have been across the sub this winter. We've had a 5" storm, and a 4" storm (Halloween) so far.

Quite a substantial difference remains between here and MLI, which is only about 25-30 miles. They hit at least 57, and we hit 46. Their 57 was only a degree from tying the old record. Upper 70s in southern MO, with even a few 80 degree readings just south of the MO border in far northern AR.

Yeah last winter was one of my all-time favorites. Everything seemed to over-perform, and of course we had the all-time record cold. Had a 6 week down period, but other than that it was fantastic. The winter before that we had that awesome late March event that dumped over 10" here, while areas a county to the north got squat. Unless the snow completely shuts off we should end up close to average this winter. The only frustrating thing about this winter is the lack of daytime snows, but that's just being a bit picky. Also, no warning criteria events, but it's hard to complain about that when folks off to the east are having a horrific winter.