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cyclone77

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Everything posted by cyclone77

  1. Had a burst of sprinkles around 4am here.
  2. Pretty cool that there's severe ongoing in the southern end of our state tonight. A sign that seasons are changing. You wouldn't know it tonight though, as temps are in the upper 20s. Hopefully something interesting shows up to track in the last half of this month. Other than the snow/ice system back in mid Jan all the events have been very wussy going back several months. Need something with some cahones to break the trend.
  3. Yeah it seems to do best in a well-mixed low-level environment, which is usually full of sun. A few weeks ago it was showing a marginal severe setup for southern IA. It has temps reaching into the mid 50s, but in reality they ended up about 10 degrees cooler and instead of 500-700 J/kg of cape there was 0. Not sure if it was too aggressive in breaking up the clouds that day or what, but it was way too optimistic with temps.
  4. This is why I always follow the farmer's almanac. 60% of the time it works every time.
  5. HRRR ended up being pretty close to reality for high temps today. It had MLI hitting 66, and they hit 65. Hit 63 here. Warmest since Christmas lol.
  6. Haha, maybe. Must be old age. There's definitely an extra spring in everyone's step today. Temps are skyrocketing like a mofo lol. It's already in the mid 50s, with a ripping south breeze. First robins have showed up today, which is kind of a funny coincidence. Went from none, to about 5-6 out in the back yard hopping around, picking through the leftover dried leaves from last year looking for something to snack on. Looks like mid to upper 60s this afternoon.
  7. Well, we've made it to met spring. So long underwhelming half-assed winter of 19/20! Time for outdoor grilling, and daily checks of the SPC site to see if any interesting convective events are on the way. Cheers!
  8. Looking like the first 10-12 days of March will be quiet. Euro has 70s into the west half of Iowa next Monday.
  9. Which makes us completely missing out on the current event even worse. Oh well, we'll always have Halloween. We'll always have Halloween. We'll always hav...
  10. Haha, no doubt. I guess I'll also have to stick with my call for the biggest dog of the season, the late March southern IL to southern OH whopper.
  11. March is gonna come in like a weak/strung-out pos, and go out like a weak/strung-out pos.
  12. I can go for another bout of 34 and rain. Would like a dash of sleet thrown in this time though please.
  13. Sounds pretty exciting. Hopefully a ribbon of 1-3" can be deposited for a lucky few.
  14. Lol. They need to just cut their losses and decommission the current version of the GFS, and put the old version back in use. Time to go back to the drawing board boys. post a photo online
  15. zzzzz. Bring on spring. Let's hope that next winter delivers a warning criteria event to more than two members outside of the lake belts.
  16. Looking forward to tracking the next strung out pos later this week/weekend.
  17. GFS and the Euro continue to indicate some sort of threat around the 4-5th. About the only thing to watch so hopefully the threat continues as we get closer.
  18. Ground zero @ 384hrs out on the op GFS. What can go wrong?
  19. Euro and GFS both showing a big dump of cold air around the 4th-5th of Feb. Hopefully something of quality can develop on the leading edge of that. Until then, zzzzz.
  20. Euro throwing you a bone with a nice snowstorm. GFS says It's an ALEK special.
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