cyclone77

Another view of the tornado above from Scott Peake. Make sure to override the settings (that many times defaults to a lower res) and choose 4K quality. The final 20 seconds or so is truly remarkable. What this and other vids like it show is the extreme acceleration of wind at a given point as the vortex propagates through. The extraordinary violence of such acceleration of wind, combined with rapid changes in wind direction is what has to be one of the most damaging aspects of any tornado. It's not just peak wind speed and flying debris.

Pretty cool how you see the large limb fall off the tree at 31 sec, and gets sucked into the tor and flings around on the left side around 40 sec mark.

It can snow in 3 months/13 weeks.

We've been wearing masks 8+hrs a day at work the last 2 1/2 months, so throwing on a mask to run into a store quick is no biggie to me. Hopefully someday we won't need to wear them, but that looks to be a long way off.

Can see rock hard looking towers/thunderheads on the eastern/southeastern horizon from here. Looks like a nice event for areas to the east.

It can snow in <4 months.

DVN FTW!!

Yeah I was surprised about the new day 2. I thought Jewell was one of the better forecasters, but who knows.

Yeah if the HRRR/HRRRV4 are anywhere close to accurate there could be some nice tors tomorrow afternoon. Very low LCLs and very nice low-level shear, combined with more than adequate instability. Looking like a great local setup.

I guess at work they started some kind of decontamination spray you walk through as you come through security on the way into the facility. I'm on vacation for the next two weeks so I'll be curious to see how that works when I go back.

It's in the 80s in northwest Minnesota lol. EDIT: 107 in Texas, 80s in southern Canada. 50s in the Midwest/Ohio Valley.

We'll probably totally flip the pattern, and have multiple 100 degree days in June. I'm sure at the least we'll easily tag a few 80 degree dews with all the moisture we're getting.

Good to hear.

Has that been doing better than the HRRR and NAM3? I haven't really used that one yet.

There's always the Flowbee.

Those bad boys are mean as hell. If you're gonna shoot their nest with a bee-bee gun, make sure you have a clean escape route, and fast transportation away from the area.

Are we gonna have a homicidal wasp thread?

Yellowstone?

We have 99 confirmed at ours, with 2 deaths. That's with only 2 counties reporting, there's about 3 other counties with workers that haven't reported.

Today was quite lame.

All I wanna know is if MLB is ever going to give money back to their fans for tickets already purchased? So far there have been no refunds for games that should have already been played. I guess the games are still technically postponed, which is ridiculous cause the games will not be made up, especially with fans in attendance. I have 3 tickets for Yankee game May 24 at Skankee Stadium. Was really looking forward to seeing a game there, even if it isn't the original house that Baby Ruth built. Anyway, what the MLB is pulling right now with their loyal fans in the midst of this financial crisis is enough for me to vow that I will never purchase one of their tickets ever again. I hope more do the same. **** them.

SPC removed most of north IL from the day 2 threat. Euro and RGEM both continue to develop some precip over the area, so I guess we'll have to see how things evolve.

18z 3km NAM continues to show expansive cloud cover that severely limits surface heating for most of the risk area Tuesday. Will be interesting to see if the HRRR shows this as well when we get within 36hrs. If the NAM verifies this one is DOA.

3km NAM looks to be way under-doing surface temps compared to the Euro. It looks like it has extensive cloud cover that limits heating throughout the day, and resulting in a stout EML above the cooler surface temps. The Euro has been advertising a much more mixed, warmer surface regime for many days, and results in surface temps 10+ degrees warmer. It continues to insist on convection taking off later Tue afternoon over northern IL, in a fairly impressive thermodynamic environment. It will be interesting to see which model wins out.

Yeah there's definitely some conditional potential there. 00z NAM showing some capping around H8 that would limit potential. Would make sense with warm southwesterly flow feeding into the area above the BL. Not much in the way of height falls either to help. EC has been consistent in breaking out precip/convection around 00z late Tue, so that is encouraging. Previous runs of the NAM have less capping compared to the new 00z, so hopefully trends reverse with subsequent NAM cycles.