cyclone77

This is why I always follow the farmer's almanac. 60% of the time it works every time.

HRRR ended up being pretty close to reality for high temps today. It had MLI hitting 66, and they hit 65. Hit 63 here. Warmest since Christmas lol.

Haha, maybe. Must be old age. There's definitely an extra spring in everyone's step today. Temps are skyrocketing like a mofo lol. It's already in the mid 50s, with a ripping south breeze. First robins have showed up today, which is kind of a funny coincidence. Went from none, to about 5-6 out in the back yard hopping around, picking through the leftover dried leaves from last year looking for something to snack on. Looks like mid to upper 60s this afternoon.

Well, we've made it to met spring. So long underwhelming half-assed winter of 19/20! Time for outdoor grilling, and daily checks of the SPC site to see if any interesting convective events are on the way. Cheers!

Looking like the first 10-12 days of March will be quiet. Euro has 70s into the west half of Iowa next Monday.

I just read through the March 22-24 2018 storm thread to cleanse myself of this current storm's disappointment lol.

Which makes us completely missing out on the current event even worse. Oh well, we'll always have Halloween. We'll always have Halloween. We'll always hav...

zzzz

Still a bit early, but it's almost time to give out our annual winter grades. At this point I'm thinking an F+ works here. We've had worse winters with less snow, but the majority of the snow this winter fell late at night, lack of a warning criteria event, and constant rug-pulling-out-from-under-at-the-last-minute events have made it a lower grade than what seasonal totals would normally dictate. With how well things went last winter when pretty much everything seemed to work out for this area we def can't complain too much about how this winter went here. If it weren't for the fact that 80% of our less than average snowfall happened in the middle of the night I probably would have given it a D+, or C- even with that models screwing us over and over at the last minute multiple times.

Haha, no doubt. I guess I'll also have to stick with my call for the biggest dog of the season, the late March southern IL to southern OH whopper.

March is gonna come in like a weak/strung-out pos, and go out like a weak/strung-out pos.

Guess the GFS was a little off with this.

If you look closely you can see a big shelf of ice/snow that has broken off the southeast shoreline of LM, and floated "out to sea" several miles.

I can go for another bout of 34 and rain. Would like a dash of sleet thrown in this time though please.

Sounds pretty exciting. Hopefully a ribbon of 1-3" can be deposited for a lucky few.

Lol. They need to just cut their losses and decommission the current version of the GFS, and put the old version back in use. Time to go back to the drawing board boys. post a photo online

Yeah I feel like a cat endlessly chasing after some kind of toy. For a bit you can tell it feels kind of stupid for continuously chasing it, but then quickly resumes chasing after it.

Just 2.5 more weeks till met spring.

zzzzz. Bring on spring. Let's hope that next winter delivers a warning criteria event to more than two members outside of the lake belts.

Still early, but I'm leaning towards a D or D- winter for a grade unless we can get a quality event between now and March. Even though we have a good shot at getting close to avg if we can muster another 10", it's been a very unsatisfying winter. Almost every snow event has been at night, and there's just not been much to get excited about overall this season. Systems downtrending in the final 48hrs has been an unfortunate theme this winter. We need a good widespread winter storm with some balls to wipe away the lameness that dominated this season.

Looking forward to tracking the next strung out pos later this week/weekend.

I love GFS.

GFS and the Euro continue to indicate some sort of threat around the 4-5th. About the only thing to watch so hopefully the threat continues as we get closer.

Ground zero @ 384hrs out on the op GFS. What can go wrong?

Euro and GFS both showing a big dump of cold air around the 4th-5th of Feb. Hopefully something of quality can develop on the leading edge of that. Until then, zzzzz.