cyclone77
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Everything posted by cyclone77
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Temp shot up 10 degrees in the past hour, from 66 to 76. Pretty impressive late day surge.
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Cloudy all day but we still made it into the 70s. Had a few brief showers this morning.
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Winter 2019-20 Medium/Long Range Discussion
cyclone77 replied to Hoosier's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
fyp -
Didn't take long for the fresh snow to vanish today. From winter wonderland to spring in less than 6hrs.
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DVN/MLI with 3.3"/4.6". A very nice event to finish out the season to be sure, but the saturating process definitely cut a good inch off the totals.
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Picked up 3.4". Trees are caked up nicely.
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Well after onset of precip is over 2hrs late and the HRRR is ratcheting down I definitely take notice lol. Hopefully the precip overperforms to make up for the late start.
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Looks like the HRRR dropped a tenth of QPF off for you as well, as compared to the earlier runs. Hope the bleeding stops soon. DVN sounding shows a fairly significant dry layer that is taking awhile to saturate. Snow onset is now over 2hrs late for MLI. So much for bucking the trend for the last event. I guess the Mon night event overachieved, but would have liked to see a more substantial event overachieve. Guess we'll have to hope next season isn't so wussy in that regard.
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New HRRR has dropped off 0.15" from earlier runs. Original 1-3" call likely would have been sufficient.
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Top-down saturation is taking longer than expected. Models have been showing precip beginning here by 10 or so. Looks like at least another hour wait. A little nervous about 4" call for here. Temp still 39.
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Already 5-6" reports along the IA/MO border, with quite a ways to go. A couple of 7" reports in the Omaha area as well, with snow still adding up.
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Nice WAA look. Thundery showers feeding northeastward into the cold sector. free image hosting
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22z RAP has bumped north a bit. Now has 0.5-0.6" for here/QC. Would love to see a last minute uptick to wipe away what happened most of the winter.
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That's like a zombie snowman lolz
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I'll go 4" here/DVN, and 5-5.5" for MLI. Pretty much right in line with their zone forecasts. Southern DVN cwa is gonna get smoked.
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I'll go 12-15" for the Centerville/Bloomfield area of Iowa. Those areas are already getting some snow this morning.
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Would love to see a bump north on models tomorrow. If we're gonna get one last snow, don't give me anymore of this 1-3" shit lol, let's go for the big dawg!
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18z Euro did bump just a slight bit south. Looks like ground zero for heaviest could be around the Centerville/Ottumwa IA areas. LSRs could be pretty nice underneath the enhanced bands, and most of the snow will be falling at night as well. Wouldn't be surprised to see a footer down there.
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Looks like a repeat of early this morning for here. Looks like 1-3" type of event, with the heaviest snows setting up in the southern portion of the DVN cwa.
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1.8" of snow here. Looks like January out there lol. The paved areas are just wet though. Shows how warm the ground is, as temps were well below freezing during the entire event.
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That Vince one literally makes me lol every time I see it.
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It's happening! (Sorry too lazy to go look up the gif)
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Had a few flurries earlier, snow squalls missed north/northeast today.
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Wagons north
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Would be funny if this somehow gave us our only warning criteria snowfall of the winter, but def not gonna happen.
