cyclone77
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Everything posted by cyclone77
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And one minute later it commences to crap the bed.
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The heavy convective shower that's heading right at MLI is the type that could easily cause a brief spin-up with this setup.
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Good thing this is fairly progressive, as your area would really be in trouble otherwise. Still looks like an easy 2-4"+ rain there. Picked up a quick 0.18" so far with this first band. You can definitely tell PWs are through the roof. Raining in sheets, with 25-30mph east-southeasterlies. All we're missing are some palm trees lol.
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Just started raining for the first time today. Temp made it to 81, but will now drop back to the mid 70s. BP down to 998mb, and dropping steadily. Should bottom out around 989-990mb between 5-6pm. HRRR is backing off the brief strong winds immediately follow the SLP passage.
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Not in this sub, but out in Nebraska winds are gusting to 70mph at North Platte. Also 71mph in southeast CO at Springfield.
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Winds gusting to 47mph in Decatur already. 42mph at Champaign.
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Flash flood watch one county west, wind advisories one county east. Positioned perfectly in the lame zone for this thing. HRRR does show some strong winds immediately following the passage of the low early this evening. Surface low looks to go right through here.
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Upper levels suck but low/mid-levels are very nice, and with so much ambient vorticity I'd be happy to be on any discrete convective cell in that environment.
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Up to 6" of snow has fallen on I-80 in southeastern Wyoming this evening. Considerable amounts of snow falling over the higher terrain of Colorado. 55-60mph northerly winds are blasting over northeast Colorado as temps plummet through the 40s after being in the 70s and 80s earlier today. Pretty insane to be seeing this so late into the year. It can snow in these same places in <3 months.
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93 here and at DVN today, and 92 at MLI. Winds were southeasterly today and that explains why here/DVN was warmer than MLI. On days with southwest/west winds MLI is usually a few degrees warmer than both locations.
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Looks like Hawkeye won't be mentioning lack of heavy rain anymore for awhile. Looks like that area will be ground zero for 3-5" of rain. Looks like 1/2-1" or so here, as we'll be very close to the track. Maybe some 30-40mph gust potential. Normally pretty much would be a non-event, but the tropical aspect of it is pretty sweet.
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Slight bump east on both the 3km NAM/HRRRV which brings the heaviest rains closer towards DVN. Another tick east and we'll be in the heaviest. Don't need the rain at all, but if we aren't gonna get the good winds might as well go for the heavy rains I guess lol.
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The track of the Cristobal comes right through here the way it's looking. Looks like the heaviest rains miss to the west (which is good for this area), and the strongest winds miss to the east. Still a pretty cool system to watch though. We should have an over/under for strongest wind gust for a location that looks like it could be in for the highest winds, like ORD or something.
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75mph wind gusts from northeast IL into southeast WI Tuesday night.
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Pretty oppressive conditions in Le Mars Iowa this evening. 118 degrees with a 118 degree dewpoint. Current heat index is 363 degrees.
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This is definitely looking like it's gonna be one to remember.
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Getting some powerful cloud to ground strikes out of this anvil rain, just like last week. Long rumbler/house shakers. Storms dropped over 4" of rain west of the QC earlier in about 90 minutes. Looks like up to 3" of rain fell in the northeastern portion of the QC around the Hampton area. Definitely been an entertaining evening.
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DVN just gusted to 61mph in a severe thunderstorm. Nice light show to the west/southwest atm.
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Tagged 90 at MLI today. Made it to 89 here, which is the current temp, so 90 still possible. Another afternoon with boiling thunderheads in the skies. Seeing that never gets old. EDIT: Hit 90.
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Spring/Summer 2020 Medium & Long Range Discussion
cyclone77 replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The Euro has a little wet snow mixing in up at Bo's on June 12th lol. -
Pretty sweet thunderhead to the southwest from that nearly stationary severe storm west of the QC. Second severe storm of the day in the area, outside of the marginal risk zone.
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Spring/Summer 2020 Medium & Long Range Discussion
cyclone77 replied to Geoboy645's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
And don't forget, cicadas will be caking the trees adding additional mass/surface area. -
Finished with 0.87" here. 2024 will certainly be an exciting year. An even better total eclipse than 2017, and then the main batch of 17-year cicadas arriving. EDIT: Nice moisture convergence over Iowa. Mid 70 dews over southeast Iowa, whilst mid 40s up in the north-central part of the state.
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We're under a severe warning, and we're not even in the marginal lol. About to get dumped on yet again.
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Now that it's June 3rd it is now the 160th anniversary of the great Camanche tornado of 1860. The most infamous tor in DVN's cwa to be sure, and one of the deadliest tornadoes in US history. Hard to believe something like this happened in this area as almost all tors in this area are birdfart EF1 one-scan spin-up wonders.
