Looking at the 3km NAM, I'm not a big fan of the big wall of convection from the gulf up to Indiana tomorrow, with the deformation zone sort of detached and hanging back to the west. Hoping the models aren't overdoing the 2nd wave, as it looks like it may be quite moisture starved. Think we've seen this sort of scenario before where the detached deformation zone really underperforms. Hope that isn't the case with this system..