Poor timing. Was watching CC to give me an idea of how the changeover was going. Guess it will remain a mystery now lol.
HRRR has all snow here at 5pm, so it's obviously not handing the changeover well. Most other guidance has us all snow by 7-8pm at the latest so hopefully that works out. Would be a lot more frustrating if we didn't just have the 6"er last Monday.
Nice to hear.
Getting first pingers here. DVN still showing melting layer around 4000ft. We'll see what happens when the much heavier precip moves in over the next hour or two.
Woops, make that freezing rain. Glaze of ice already on the snow, and some on the trees as well. Paved areas not freezing though.
DVN shows melting layer at about 4000ft. HRRR shows us all snow by 6pm, so we'll see.
Cold rain and 32 here. Have had off and on heavy drizzle the past few hours. Was quite a bit of blowing/drifting snow out in the open earlier before the drizzle capped it.
Gonna lower the call from 6-8" to 2-5" for this area. As intense as the precip will be there's just too much WAA to overcome. Wouldn't be surprised if we get another mega sleet dump as we transition from rain to snow early this eve.
Ha well we ain't no stranger to a string of 60s in Feb and that would nuke it all to hell, but it would have the capability to hold on longer than a "normal" 10" snowpack lol.
If mixing issues end up being an issue and we only get a few inches of snow it's only going to make the snowpack in place that much more formidable. Would prefer an all-snow 6+ incher but there is an upside to the mixing scenario at least lol. Would have loved to get in on that 2"/hr scenario the models were putting out in previous cycles. It's still possible but looking less likely for these parts.
Mixing issues had been looking to stay just south of the QCA, but now it's looking like we'll be dealing with that to start. Think we'll very quickly go over to very heavy snow though with the heavy precip. Gonna ride my 6-8"+ call.
DVN going with 7:1-10:1 LSR for the cwa which sound pretty solid. I will say that LSRs could be briefly much higher in the first enhanced band. Wouldn't be surprised to see large flakes with that add up very quickly. Gonna ride the 6-8" call but wouldn't be surprised if totals are more than that, especially a bit northeast of here.
Pretty close to a foot of snow on the ground, with the bottom 4" a solid glacier with more snows on the way this weekend. About as deep winter as it gets around these parts.