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cyclone77

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Everything posted by cyclone77

  1. Very cool. As someone who is probably a little too obsessed with time lapses I can say that's a great idea with the radar/sounding combo with the time lapse. Well done.
  2. This is kind of a cool tool. Does lots of things, but it also shows total estimated precip from up to the past 72hrs. You can reduce that down to the last 1hr, 3hrs, etc. You can also go as far back as one week to look at data. You can zoom in pretty close, and include county lines, etc. https://mrms.nssl.noaa.gov/qvs/product_viewer/
  3. After tomorrow it looks quite nice with temps in the low 70s, and dews in the 40s/50s through Monday. The transition from Mon to Tue will be quite jarring, as dews on Mon will be in the 40s, and jump into the 70s Tue per ECMWF.
  4. Pretty entertaining watching all the thunderheads bubble up and build into storms the past few days. Was actually under a severe warning a short while ago for a cluster of storms that just missed to the east. I caught one of them developing from birth with the gopro. Watch to the right of the main thunderheads as it takes off in the time lapse.
  5. Storm heading this way. 87/70/91. Don't need the rain but the cool off will be nice.
  6. Dews have reached 70 for the first time. Corn is up 5-10" in most area fields. They are probably already having an impact on evapotranspiration. Our first 80 degree dew could be less than a month away.
  7. Finished with 0.31", and now up to 7.95" for May. More to come in the next few days.
  8. Getting some positive CGs out of this stratiform rain shield that moved in.
  9. Made it to 87 here and at MLI. Today was the first 80+ here. Pretty stuffy out there this evening with temp still holding at 77, dews over 65, and zero wind. Perfect evening to get eaten alive by mosquitoes if you dare to go without repellent.
  10. DVN has confirmed 5 tornadoes from yesterday so far. All EF1 or EFU.
  11. Ha was just thinking that a little while ago. Definitely a shock to the system after the weather we've had. Humidity has really shot up too, with dews in the upper 60s, and very little wind. ORD up to a legit 87 already, and MLI has made it to 86. If it weren't for the cirrus overhead filtering the sun a bit we may have made 90 today as the HRRRRRRR suggested.
  12. HRRRV gives us our first 90+ degree day of the year tomorrow. Will feel pretty nice after the upper 50s for highs a few days ago.
  13. Found a way to miss all the tornadoes today lol. Followed the initial sup that hailed on us here northeastward toward Sterling. Had some nice downward motion in one of the RFD cuts, and had a nice ragged wall cloud for a bit, but then it crapped the bed. Broke off that when the new batch of sups went tornado warned back towards home. Chose the southern one and that one didn't do squat. Neighbors say that there was a nice rotating wall cloud that passed just east of us, and that went on to produce the brief Morrison tornado. Shot this from the front door, brief view of the wall cloud from the first sup, right before the hail began. picture of 400
  14. 1.28" of rain today brings May up to 7.64". Standing water everywhere again. Hoping the heavy rains over the next several days goes around us.
  15. Just had 1" diameter hail for about 2 minutes, and 1.27" of rain. There was a wall cloud that passed just southeast. Took a few crappy cell pics. Now I'm gonna try to catch up to it and chase lit lol.
  16. An area of weak rotation is heading right at us with that organizing sup east of the QC. May pass just a bit southeast of here, but gonna be close.
  17. The second arc out in IA has already produced a tor based on a pic/report on fb out by Ladora IA. No warning with that one unfortunately. There's a nice hailer heading right at us here.
  18. There's two notable arcs showing up on vis atm. The lead arc is a broken line of elevated hailers from the nose of Iowa down into west-central IL. The second arc is from central into southeast IA. That one only has a few scattered showers with it so far. Surface winds are backed better ahead of the lead/elevated arc, but surface winds are still decently back ahead of the IA arc. The LOT discussion mentions that the lead/elevated arc may potentially become surface-based, and could end up being the main show. Since there's no sign of those storms weakening, and the environment out ahead of it is only getting better, I see no reason why that may not be the case. Can definitely see the IA arc become a nice tor producer too once it gets going. It's back closer to the vort max and will have plenty of instability to work with. Can definitely envision a whole bunch of tors with that compact spiral band as it lifts through northeast/eastern IA, and up into southwest WI. Should be a fun day. I'm still not sure if I'm gonna play the lead arc, or take a shot at the IA arc.
  19. Beautiful day, as temps made it to 72, with dews in the 50s. Had a decent amount of sun mixed in. Got a lot of trees trimmed up, and got everything mowed/trimmed before the next onslaught of May rains.
  20. Yeah I was surprised about the new day 2. I thought Jewell was one of the better forecasters, but who knows.
  21. ^ We're already over 6" for May here. Looks like 10" isn't out of the question. Would be back-to-back near or over 10" Mays.
  22. Yeah if the HRRR/HRRRV4 are anywhere close to accurate there could be some nice tors tomorrow afternoon. Very low LCLs and very nice low-level shear, combined with more than adequate instability. Looking like a great local setup.
  23. Maybe in December, but not May lol. Clouds have actually thinned enough to let some dim sun through from time to time, and that has allowed our temp to reach 66 already. That's already warmer than the previous 4 days.
  24. I guess at work they started some kind of decontamination spray you walk through as you come through security on the way into the facility. I'm on vacation for the next two weeks so I'll be curious to see how that works when I go back.
  25. Made it to 62 here. Did see a little sun shortly before sunset, which was an unexpected treat. Euro has non-stop 80s starting here on Sunday. Tomorrow looks like it could be another under-achiever but at least the worst is over.
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