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cyclone77

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Everything posted by cyclone77

  1. cyclone77
    Shucks, was hoping the 16" from yesterday's run would verify. Gonna stick with my 5-7" call for here/QC.
  2. cyclone77
    New Euro looks largely the same. Still 30+hrs for more tweaks, but the QC should be locked in for a nice 5-7" event. If ratios end up as high as some of the kuchera outputs then more than 7" is definitely possible.
  3. cyclone77
    That would beat GHD2 here with that 16" lol. From here on out I'm ridin the RAP.
  4. cyclone77
    Feeling pretty good about our location with this. It's far from a lock, but 6"+ looks pretty likely for the QCA.
  5. cyclone77
    Will be interesting to see if any or many of the ensemble members incorporate more of the secondary wave. It looks like it's so close to being something quite special, so it'd be kind of a shame if it falls just short. That being said I'll still take a solid weekend event.
  6. cyclone77
    Tonight's wave was a bust. Picked up nothing.
  7. cyclone77
    Not to be negative, but verbatim I'm not a big fan of that northeast/southwest tilted zone of heavy convection in the warm sector. Many times it seems to cause the cold sector zone of precip to underperform. Long way to go so maybe that won't be as much of an issue in the future. That being said, it's great to have another system to track already.
  8. cyclone77
    Solid performer here as we finished just under 4" (3.8"). Was raining on me as I was blowing the drive off a little bit ago.
  9. cyclone77
    12z HRRR dumps 4-5" over the QCA and holds off the changeover to mix/rain till early afternoon. Some other guidance has bumped QPF and delayed the changeover as well, so I'm thinking 3-5" looks pretty good for a call around here.
  10. cyclone77
    I'll go with 2-3" for here tomorrow. Prob a little less for QC. Should rip for awhile in the morning. Any delay in changeover could bump amounts some so a bit tricky.
  11. cyclone77
    Ended up with 0.41" last night/early this morning. Nice little hailer came through with some nice thunder around 1am. Pea-sized hail I guess, I didn't get out of bed to look at it lol.
  12. cyclone77
    No hail here but some decent lightning and thunder, and a few very brief downpours. Picked up 0.18".
  13. cyclone77
    Hoping for a little late December thunder this evening.
  14. cyclone77
    Bump. Still a long ways to go, but if this New year's snowstorm comes to fruition how ironic is that? All-time Dec max followed by New Years snowstorm. Let's do it.
  15. cyclone77
    Nice rates for a period it looks like. Future runs should be fun to watch come in.
  16. cyclone77
    Still paying for that derecho
  17. cyclone77
    Dammit you beat me before I could fix my screwup lol. Got it fixed.
  18. cyclone77
    Figured it'd be fun to guess what ORD will end up with given such a slow start.
  19. cyclone77
    Looks like LOT will finally get on the board Tuesday (28th) with a little front-end snow before changing to rain. Prob a DAB, but if the changeover holds off long enough perhaps an inch or two? Down this way the period of snow/sleet/frz rain looks shorter, but still could get a DAB/very minor glaze before light rain/dry slot arrives.
  20. cyclone77
    MLI ended up hitting 64, so just 1 degree from tying. Hit 59 here.
  21. cyclone77
    Another 60+ day in the books at MLI. Up to 61 now, only 4 degrees from the record.
  22. cyclone77
    That's pretty impressive/depressing. This is starting to get pretty crazy now, as usually if a location is in futility at this point in the season it's sort of an area that has been getting screwed. This futility is very widespread this season. The areas not in futility are actually in the minority it would seem.
  23. cyclone77
    DVN and MLI both at 0.3" for the season, and Dubuque with 0.2" so far. Feeling quite fortunate to be up at a lofty 0.5" lol.
  24. cyclone77
    42 confirmed naders in Iowa alone now. Broyles general thunder (sub-marginal) day3 outlook looking like the poorest outlook of all time.
  25. cyclone77
    That's one of maybe a handful of events of any type that I'd love to go back and live again. That blizzard was badass!
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