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LVblizzard

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Everything posted by LVblizzard

  1. LVblizzard
    12z 3km NAM has some pretty big snows along I-78 and I-80.
  2. LVblizzard
    Snow is coming down pretty good and starting to accumulate near Allentown.
  3. LVblizzard
    0z NAM has a pretty nice event for the Lehigh Valley and southern Poconos on Wednesday.
  4. LVblizzard
    12z NAM comes in with the most weenie solution yet. This is something to watch…the NAM nailed the “surprise” event last month.
  5. LVblizzard
    Sleeting hard near Allentown. Ground is covered.
  6. LVblizzard
    ZR/sleet mix a few miles west of Allentown.
  7. LVblizzard
    There’s a pretty good signal for this on the GFS and CMC ensembles. Definitely bears watching.
  8. LVblizzard
    Radar is looking pretty nice. Precip is breaking out earlier than the models showed and there’s a heavy band almost back to State College. I have a feeling some of us will be waking up very happy in the morning.
  9. LVblizzard
    In a big way too. 3-6” region-wide with up to 8” in a few areas.
  10. LVblizzard
    The south trend is real with this one. That 1040+ high in southern Canada means business.
  11. LVblizzard
    Heaviest snow of the storm so far in the Lehigh Valley. Still not “heavy” snow by definition but it’s coming down at a pretty good clip.
  12. LVblizzard
    Cutoff will probably hang out in Berks, into Schuylkill and Carbon counties overnight. I’m glad to be east of it even if I’m not getting in on the good stuff.
  13. LVblizzard
    On my drive home to the Allentown suburbs it was snowing steadily, but lightly, the whole time. Snow is beginning to stick to the highways and main roads.
  14. LVblizzard
    Each run of the HRRR just keeps getting better.
  15. LVblizzard
    Steady light snow at my work in Bath. Ground covered. A bit surprising given the lack of radar returns here.
  16. LVblizzard
    Storm definitely seems more juiced so far, especially when comparing the current radar to the hot garbage that was the 18z model suite.
  17. LVblizzard
    HRRR has been trending better throughout the evening.
  18. LVblizzard
    One good thing I’m seeing is that the precip off the NC coast is quite a bit more north and west than the 18z 3km NAM showed at 4 pm.
  19. LVblizzard
    Really not liking the trends in the short-range mesos. The HRRR earlier today showed up to 4-5” in Allentown…now we’re barely seeing an inch.
  20. LVblizzard
    Compare the 12z and 0z Euro precip maps. Very little difference in SE PA, even a bit more in eastern Bucks. It's a worse run for SNE and NYC but for us it's nothing to worry about.
  21. LVblizzard
    Initial low confidence guess for the Lehigh Valley was 1-3"...maybe time to bump that up to 2-4" or 3-6"? Tomorrow's guidance is going to be important, as well as comparing tonight's models to tomorrow's observations in about 12-24 hours.
  22. LVblizzard
    Regular NAM on top…and the 3km that came west as well
  23. LVblizzard
    Well well well, hello there 0z NAM…
  24. LVblizzard
    We actually have some pretty solid agreement now among the models not named the GFS.
  25. LVblizzard
    Being in the Lehigh Valley sucks for this one…it might be one of those storms where NYC gets blasted and we just get some light snow.
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