Not getting excited yet, it’s still 5 days away and a lot can change. This could easily come back north. Plus even on the colder models (minus the GFS) we still rain quite a bit.
I fly back to Philly from Denver late Sunday night and I likely won’t be getting back to Allentown till 2 am. Guarantee this will happen the one time I don’t want a snowstorm.
Still steady light snow in Allentown. We’ve missed all the heavy bands unfortunately. We might get to 2”. Slightly disappointing even though my expectations were not very high. No clue what Mt. Holly was thinking…and their point forecast still says 3-5” for some reason.
I just don’t understand where these aggressive numbers from Mt. Holly are coming from. There is virtually no model support for widespread 4-6.” Aside from maybe the HREF.
Just updated my page, I stuck with 2-4” for the Lehigh Valley. Not sure where all these ultra aggressive forecasts are coming from. I’d be more surprised if my forecast busted high rather than low.
NAM and the other American hi-res models vs. everything else. Quite the battle we have here. Hopefully we get some clearer answers by tomorrow's 12z suite.