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LVblizzard

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Everything posted by LVblizzard

  1. Dusting on the grass in Allentown. Steady snow has stopped but some flurries remain.
  2. Ends up being a little better but the MA forum still wins.
  3. Looks like a…uh, never mind.
  4. Not sure if we’re about to fully get NAM’d or not but this run should be better than 12z.
  5. This is the kind of event where I REALLY wish we had a radar near I-81 in the coal region.
  6. There’s also some confluence we have to deal with in the upper Midwest. Although that could be related to that lobe over Maine.
  7. Those squalls in central PA look like they mean business. Hoping they hold together so we can get an inch or so.
  8. Light snow has started in Allentown. Not sticking yet.
  9. For what it’s worth (probably not much) the 15z SREF bumped north a bit.
  10. Radar is blossoming in central PA. Looks like it’s headed for the Philly burbs.
  11. I would be very surprised if this storm trended down to just flurries and snow showers for us. In the Poconos, sure, but I’m confident accumulating snow will get to the Lehigh Valley.
  12. It’s called the crazy uncle for a reason. As much as it sucks it’s still better than the abomination it showed last night.
  13. GFS gives SE PA weenies hope again. Warning level snow up to Quakertown.
  14. 12z models so far (NAM, RGEM, ICON) aren’t horrible for us. They all get accumulating snow into pretty much the entire Mt. Holly CWA, except maybe Sussex County NJ. But another tick south and I will start to get very worried.
  15. December was halfway decent so I wouldn’t consider us “snow starved.” But yes this storm is a really annoying one.
  16. 12z NAM comes in line with the model consensus. Heavy snow stays south of Philly and I-80 on north gets nada.
  17. With that new lobe of confluence showing up and pressing down into Quebec and Maine, we need this storm to buck the trend of slowing down and speed up again. If it’s too slow then that lobe comes crashing in and squashes the whole thing towards DC.
  18. Happened somewhat in Jan. 2016 too. 4-5 days out a lot of the models started to shift south and some even missed the Philly area. Then 2-3 days out the slow north trend began again and it ended up being a historic storm for all of us.
  19. Euro starts off fine but ends up positively tilting the trough as it approaches the Mid-Atlantic, as opposed to the GFS which amps it up and keeps it closed off. Pretty ugly run.
  20. I’ve seen the UKMET do this before. In February 2021 it showed snow completely missing eastern PA 4 days out. I ended up getting 2 1/2 feet. Edit: found it lol
  21. Started a thread for this one. If this storm trends back south towards suppression you guys can blame me.
  22. It now appears pretty certain that it will snow on Monday. So I don’t think a thread can curse us. The question is, how much? Some models, like the Canadian, keep the heavy snow to our south in Baltimore and DC. While the GFS has a MECS for all of us. It’ll be an interesting weekend of tracking, hopefully we can all get in on the fun with this one.
  23. The GFS turns this into a fairly long duration storm as snow continues with the passage of the vort, as opposed to previous runs where most of it was the front end WAA thump. As a result we get a major snowstorm.
  24. Ummm…holy GFS. Wow. This is a crazy good run for all of us.
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