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About LVblizzard

- Currently Viewing Topic: Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
- Birthday 10/05/1993
Profile Information
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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KABE
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Gender
Male
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Location:
Allentown, PA
Recent Profile Visitors
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January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
LVblizzard replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
NAM and RRFS are on their own with the extreme mid level warm air surge. None of the other globals or mesos agree with pushing sleet to the Poconos. -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
LVblizzard replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
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Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
LVblizzard replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
That too…reflectivity is bright and CC shows a clear boundary from roughly Ada to McAlester. Still means the NAM was too warm which has me injecting some hopium. -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
LVblizzard replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
Look at mPING as it relies on actual observations, not the colors on radar maps. It currently has sleet up to Ada, OK, right in line with the Euro and HRRR. It does appear the NAM was too warm at the mid levels, though, as it had sleet up to I-40 where it’s currently all snow. -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
LVblizzard replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
It’s getting that sweet recon data. But the GFS is still the GFS. It’s more likely than not to let us down in the end. I’ve seen this movie too many times before. -
Extreme Cold, Snow & Sleet: SECS 1/25 - 1/26
LVblizzard replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
That includes sleet. The WB maps show a disastrous outcome with sleet getting well north of I-80 and just 6” for the city. -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
LVblizzard replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
RRFS gets the sleet line to Scranton. Meanwhile none of the other mesos (minus the NAM) get it past the Lehigh Valley. Quite the battle we have here. -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
LVblizzard replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
Wow so basically no melting this week. Yeah this will stick around for awhile. -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
LVblizzard replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
You’re like 15 miles south of me. How much is still left there? I’ve been away since Monday. -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
LVblizzard replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
I’m literally 1/4 mile south of I-78. Good thing weather doesn’t follow interstate highways like that! -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
LVblizzard replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
3km NAM literally has my house right on the line for hours. Route 22 is basically the dividing line between a big storm and a bust. -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
LVblizzard replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
And it didn’t follow…still torches the mid levels. 6-10” for the area then sleet. Just 20-25 miles more south with that line and we’re back though. This isn’t over by any means. -
Jan 24-26 Weekend Snow and Sleetfest Model Thread Part Tres
LVblizzard replied to H2O's topic in Mid Atlantic
HRRR has a warm bias at the surface…which is strange because it’s often too cold in the mid levels. -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
LVblizzard replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
HRRR doesn’t get the mix line past the Lehigh Valley. Stalls it at southern Lehigh County then retreats towards the turnpike. We’ll see if the NAM follows. -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
LVblizzard replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
That’s all snow here so I’d be pretty happy with that. I don’t mind changing over to sleet as long as we get dumped on with snow first.
