LVblizzard

Total screwjob for most of SE PA today. One line missed to the north and another line missed to the south. Sigh…

Insane CG barrage right now just west of Allentown. Best lightning I’ve seen all year.

Decent light show to the north and south this evening. Just wish it would have hit the Lehigh Valley instead of going around us.

I will definitely be doing some chasing out there! It’s actually a big part of why I’m moving, so I can be a short drive from the plains of eastern CO. They get some nasty supercells out there and a decent amount of tornadoes.

Yes. I worked hard to organically build a community of 14k followers. I’m not giving that up.

Here comes the humidity. It was comfortable here 2 hours ago…not so much now. Hopefully we get some rain later to cool us down. This will be my last full week in the Lehigh Valley for awhile - possibly ever? I’m moving to Denver in a week and a half because it’s somewhere I’ve always wanted to live and I’m now in a position to give it a try. It gets hot out there sometimes but it’s a dry heat. “Humid” there is a DP of 60. It’s going to be quite the adjustment but I’m looking forward to living in a place with such volatile weather.

That cell over Allentown tried to go into tornado making mode. I was getting gas at Costco and I noticed some pretty intense rotation, despite radar not really showing it. Didn’t see any funnels but the motion in the clouds was pretty crazy.

There’s been near constant thunder here for over 3 hours. Our only break was an hour ago when the first storm left and the second one hadn’t formed yet.

Yeah this is a tough area to chase in. Might not matter though…that little supercell is making a beeline directly towards me. Hearing lots of distant thunder. If it does try to tornado it’ll happen very close to my house, likely just south.

Figures…the one day my car is in the shop is the one that has tornadic supercells everywhere. Would have loved to chase today.

Some clearing is showing up in southern PA and expanding ENE. Today is still game on from the Lehigh Valley southward.

The HRRR has been adamant about this early activity and it still has severe storms around later. I don’t think it fully kills the severe threat…it does make it a little tougher though.

The NAM and HRRR look drastically different for Tuesday. The NAM has widely scattered storms in eastern PA while the main line stays in western PA and dissipates as it reaches this area. The HRRR plows a strong line of storms through the region on Tuesday evening. It’s a decent setup without as many fail modes as Saturday…but we still need things to come together the right way. It’s not easy to get a severe outbreak around here.

That cold front feels nice. Windows are open to let in the less humid and non smoky air. Tuesday’s threat looks interesting…would be nice to make up for yesterday’s whiff around here.

I have my eye on the stuff north of State College. If the Lehigh Valley is going to see any severe weather, it’ll be from that. If it can latch onto the warm front it might get pretty gnarly.