nwohweather

Might get a little busy on this thread here today

Looks pretty dicey along and north of the I-20 corridor today if the instability can build following the morning rain. SRH is actually forecasted to be pretty damn high and the morning activity should put down a nice boundary back in AL/MS/TN

I just feel like IWX & CLE are vastly underdoing this event. These events are always a heavy shot of snow before turning to a mix & rain, should be an easy 2-4" for those areas. CLE is out here saying maybe an inch? 100% expect a WWA this afternoon once this thing arrives

I like 2-4” for Toledo

Completely and I absolutely love it. I don’t see Charleston dropping below 75° at all this week for a high. Big fan of this torch

I had my legs in the pool today! I cannot complain at all. As fun as snowstorms are, an 80° holiday week is so relaxing

What a perfect day on the coast. Nice breeze with temps in the upper 60s and sunshine. Merry Christmas everyone!

With as much energy we’ve seen this year in both the hurricane season and lately out of the Pacific, you have to think there will eventually be a monster Nor Easter that clips many with snow

Insane looking at the models for the next few days here. Starting Friday is another extended stretch of weather you’d more likely see in Orlando or Daytona, not Charleston. I wouldn’t be shocked to see 80° hit on Tuesday or Wednesday a little inland. Just bonkers how the warm air will not subside in the South this year, you almost forget that the average high is indeed around 60°

Yeah it seems quite apparent the Central Lakes region is in a period similar to what the 1990s were now. Since 2005 Toledo has had 3 of its 5 snowiest Januaries and 4 of the top 5 snowiest February’s of all time

If I’m not mistaken the winter of 17/18 was bitterly cold to start. We went 2 weeks there around Christmas without getting above freezing

I’m fine with that lol presents and food are overrated anyways. Seriously though I’m stunned at how warm meteorological “winter” has been here in 2021-22. Makes sense with a roaring Pacific though but crazy to experience

Have to really appreciate the shorts and polo weather for Christmas Eve golf. Next week looks pretty raw though

This warmth is so impressive. To be sitting outside at night in shorts and tee before Christmas is unreal

Exactly! Heck there were reports of asphalt being cracked and foundations suffering catastrophic damage. If you're going to use "improper building" as a reason to withhold an EF5 rating then basically the only chance of an EF5 rating is on the coastline in a hurricane zone. Regardless, I've seen an EF4 up close and it's damage. I'm not sure how you can get much worse than that anyways, it's beyond anything you reasonably even expect.

I guess the debris needed to be sent into the stratosphere for that EF5 rating

Jeez, it’s in the teens back in western portions of SD. Can’t help but think if some of that CIN could erode that this could turn into quite the tornado event tonight. I don’t envy these mets calling warnings, line is moving so so fast every scan is crucial

Agreed! Was thinking about this exactly, the mainline is pretty much a Cat 1 Hurricane

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Webster County in south central Nebraska... Adams County in south central Nebraska... Southwestern Hamilton County in south central Nebraska... Buffalo County in south central Nebraska... Hall County in south central Nebraska... Clay County in south central Nebraska... Western Nuckolls County in south central Nebraska... Eastern Franklin County in south central Nebraska... Northeastern Phelps County in south central Nebraska... Kearney County in south central Nebraska... Southwestern Merrick County in central Nebraska... Eastern Sherman County in central Nebraska... Howard County in central Nebraska... * Until 215 PM CST. * At 120 PM CST, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 8 miles south of Elm Creek to near Hildreth to 10 miles south of Franklin, moving northeast at 85 mph.

Quite possibly the most absurd setup I've ever seen. Wild parameters (Storm motions of 80 mph, LCL's super low, great helicity, lapse rates at 9°) combined with a frickin snowpack

Foundations can usually are built to handle 4,000 PSI

It really speaks for itself how violent this tornado really was. It’s been 8 years since we’ve had an EF5 in the United States, so the fact it seems like a slam dunk is very telling. I’d compare this a lot with Greensburg though, especially with the rail car damage

One thing that stuck out to me while following the mesoanalysis that night was how the cap eroded perfectly ahead of the storm like a police escort. Pretty much everything to the north and east couldn’t get surface based and nothing fired up to its immediate south. The storm essentially had free reign until the main line caught it in a very moist, extreme helicity environment. I can’t really recall ever seeing anything exactly like this

The roar man…

The damage on TWC right now is unreal. That town of Mayfield is gone