nwohweather
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Everything posted by nwohweather
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If 17 wasn’t such a damn mess this time of day I’d for sure drive to it. Also to the east of Moncks Corner is very sparsely populated forest
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Damn we might get a tornado by Moncks Corner
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Not violent, it's pretty difficult. From Mothers Day to Labor Day we really take on a fully tropical climate which lacks the wind aloft in sea breeze thunderstorms to put down anything. Also most stronger lows do not affect us as they go poleward as deepening occurs out of OK/TX in the winter and stay to the west of the Apps. It's certainly rare to see things line up, but when it does you have ample moisture to bring those LCL's down like yesterday
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Heck of a day down here and really we lucked out. Due to the water table (whole place is a swamp) basements are not something common at all in this region. Thank God this didn't head to around Charleston, you have a metro area the size of Dayton with absolutely no basements. Really a worst case scenario for violent tornadoes
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About to have a serious tornado event in the Lowcountry
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Agreed. I think we may just need to merge or something. If the instability can build a bit this afternoon the parameters are certainly there for a strong tornado, they already are in GA -
Really starting to bow out now. Gonna be a hell of a line racing through the South tomorrow
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All that for a line eh?
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Looks to be a solid two day event from Jackson to Charleston
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Stunning day in the Lowcountry today. 77 with low humidity and a nice breeze
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She's on the ground alright. Populated area as well
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Yeah, as long as this current rain doesn't stabilize things too much I think there's a solid tornado chance today
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Definitely is a MIdwest October type of threat today, however it does look like some moderate instability and ample moisture transport will be in place this afternoon for the Carolinas. I actually expect us to be under a Tornado Watch shortly
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Might be a big one building around Fairhope crossing the bay now
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I’ve noticed SRH has ramped up significantly this evening and instability isn’t terrible. Mobile is definitely under the gun at the moment
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Looks like they're just warning the entire line. Really about to move in a better atmosphere over the next hour
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I was thinking the same thing. Ours is obviously being buoyed by the ocean as that mirrors the ocean temp, but dews drop hard to below 50 once you reach even Charlotte.
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I'd say so, looks like the low is trending a bit stronger than expected thus far. I can say anecdotally it's pretty warm and humid for March here even in South Carolina, I imagine closer to the low dews may take a run at 70 this afternoon. It's a pretty significant moisture transport into this thing, PWAT's are around 1.7 at the line currently
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Man that atmosphere off to the east is getting absolutely primed. Not there yet though but certainly getting there for around lunch time
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Yeah I’d agree with that. Hi-Res are showing legit supercells firing on the south side of that line in an environment that will have some serious spin. If I’m not mistaken SRH on soundings around Mobile was around 400-500
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Yeah I believe projected winds around 100 MPH are required for a PDS T-Storm Watch
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I get you there, but when I'm saying is I'm not sold on there being a bunch of tornadoes period. Only can really see it if this event evolves into more of a "string of pearls" look than a full fledged line which is unlikely
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Regardless, I'm not nearly as bullish as the SPC here. Definitely looks like a major damaging wind event though, soundings show plenty of wind transferring down to the surface. We could even see a High Wind Warning as well for the area
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Might as well call this the new Tornado Alley at this point. I'm just not sold on a legit QLCS tornado outbreak, very atypical despite awesome parameters. I saw this a lot while living in the Great Lakes, we'd have some powerhouse low roll through with out of this world dynamics, yet at the end of the day a line is a line. We'd get a ton of wind reports, but so often the tornado threat would lack considerably.
