I would argue this was the worst tornado in American history. A mile wide EF5 surging thru the heart of a 50,000 person city? 158 lives lost with modern forecasting technology and the communications system we have today is insane. I cannot imagine if this were to have happened in the 1940s what it would have done.
That stretch is what causes so much of the bellyaching we see on here. Since 2005 Toledo, OH has seen the #1, 3 & 5th snowiest Januaries and the #1, 2, 4, 5, 6 & 9th snowiest Februaries on record. If you like snow, you’ve had an all time run
Bingo. It didn’t help that not only was there that powerhouse line through the south, but strong convection along the Ohio River holding down moisture on the back end of this system quite a bit
Not sure what IWX and CLE are doing here. Absolutely nothing up and you’ve got good model consistency on at least 3-6” if not 4-8”. Not ideal, at least throw up an advisory
Well said This is why I prefer severe weather
Verbatim the GFS & Euro show the Toledo metro getting absolutely slammed early Sunday morning. Would be the heaviest snow I've seen in years
Can we rely on it though? It still along the cutoff line has a wildly different split. I’m going 2-4” north of US 24 and 1-2” south of it. Might as well just label it as cement for the final accumulations
I'll take it all day
Feeling more and more confident in a 3-6" for the Toledo metro as this goes on. To your point, wagons south and the GFS winning is an odd feeling
Nor should it be. You have the GFS with a weaker system sliding east of Cleveland giving huge snows west and NW of the Maumee River while the Euro & NAM take the SLP center directly over Toledo. That’s still quite a bit of uncertainty for 2.5 days out. I would lean towards the NAM & Euro at this time