
Isotherm
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July 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Isotherm replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
93.2F/79F, HI 113 here! The dew point may be slightly high, but possibly not. Mesonet site Holmdel is recording a 78F dew point right now. -
July 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Isotherm replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Already 85.2F before 10am at my station. -
July 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Isotherm replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
90.4F here, finally converting another 90. -
July 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Isotherm replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
12z ECMWF indicates 95F+ for most four consecutive days, Fri-Mon. There may also be some isolated 95F highs tomorrow and Wednesday in the warmer locations in NJ. -
July 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Isotherm replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Nope. Sited very well within open field, 40+ feet away from structures, DVP2 plus, wireless FARS, and exposed to the sun, sunrise to sunset. I have had 5 89F days, some of them literally a couple tenths from 89.5. So we're probably talking about 0.5F or less differential. Additionally, a few of the TTN 90F days happened to be ELY flow/onshore flow days, which kept me slightly lower as I'm quite a bit closer to the ocean than TTN. So we've had a couple of strange breaks. -
July 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Isotherm replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
The 90s should be ineluctable this coming week here. We've had a few unlucky breaks with hitting 90 locally so far, between clouds and other issues. A pleasant 60.1F this morning after 89F yesterday, and 78F now. Nice diurnal swings. -
July 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Isotherm replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
5th swing and miss here with a 89.2F high. Leveled off at 88F now. It's become the season of 89s here. TTN also 89 today it appears. -
July 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Isotherm replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
TTN comports with my area again, high of 87.3F here today. -
July 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Isotherm replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
2.05". -
July 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Isotherm replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Yet another swing and miss here due to smoke and cloud filled skies. 4th 89F day at 88.8F. So still stuck at only 1 single 90F day thus far. -
July 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Isotherm replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Same here, 87.4F. Probably would have made 89-90F, but for the Canadian smoke. Low was 60.6F this morning. -
July 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Isotherm replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
81.4F was all I could muster here. Mostly cloudy until about 2pm; thereupon, the easterly flow strengthened. Was actually a pleasant evening. Low-mid 70s at Belmar on the coast. -
July 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Isotherm replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
I'm presently targeting the July 14th-19th period for the potential of a major heat wave in the Atlantic corridor. Weak convergence will continue near the dateline courtesy of walker cell LR forcing, proxies for NHEM blocking neutralize, and perhaps most preeminent is the reorganization of lower geopotential heights near Alaska [several standard deviation rise in the EPO progged], thereby forcing not insignificant height rises C/E CONUS. There could potentially be multiple days in the mid 90s [or higher in some areas] in the July 14th-20th period. -
July 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Isotherm replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Another 89F in the books here as well at 89.2F. 3rd 89F on the season. Still stuck at only 1 90F. -
July 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Isotherm replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Similar here. Made it to 87F on the east wind today. Hit 89F on the 2nd, but no 90s for July thus far. -
July 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Isotherm replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Central Park hit 90F, ironically, on an east wind day. They are often one of the warmest locations with light onshore flow. -
July 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Isotherm replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
@doncat, serendipitously, I checked wunderground this morning, and my station is online! Your suggestion ostensibly worked, that is, inputting the device ID number into the Web Download section of the Communications Port. I spent 1 hour on the phone with Davis going through every permutation, and they even noted that one does not need to put any values in that box! I believe you should begin working for Davis support. Thanks again. Here's my station: https://www.wunderground.com/weather/us/nj/colts neck township/40.293773300000005%2C-74.1595374 -
July 2019 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Isotherm replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Quite a hot run of the 12z ECMWF this afternoon. Most days ranging from 87-93 degrees. -
The background state is certainly a not insignificant factor inculcated in the overall long range forecast equation, from my standpoint.
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The SSTA profile similarities b/t present [2019] and late May 2002 are quite striking. The degree of structural symmetry is impressive, on a hemispheric and even global scale.
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Thanks, Roger, and I concur, [while the language was qualified somewhat due to long range precautions] I saw some distinct signals for potential major heat. Good luck with your forecast as well.
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Summer outlook can be found here: http://www.lightinthestorm.com/ ***Scroll down for temperature/pcpn departure forecast details and maps, as well as 90F day forecast. NJ map of total snowfall for the 2018-19 winter: http://www.lightinthestorm.com/nj-snowfall Comments and/or inquiries are appreciated.
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March 12/13/14 Blizzard/Winter Storm/WWA etc
Isotherm replied to Bostonseminole's topic in New England
@IrishRob17 @40/70 Benchmark, That is correct, I am not advocating for the once per day observation -- which is much different than capturing the maximum snowfall for the 24 hour period. Ray, to be clear, I am merely presenting the guidelines as they currently stand, which states that non-airport measuring should be maximum snowfall for the 24 hour period. I am not advocating that the 6-hr clearing is necessarily a bad method. I just think congruence with historical records is important and we never should have added the option for 6hr clearing in the 1998-2012 period. Per my discussion with Matt who works with the NJ climatologist, there was extensive debate among the people on the panel for this 6hr - maximum snowfall issues. Interestingly enough, the person who pushed most for the 6-hr method was the same person who reversed his thinking and signed off on the return to the maximum snowfall method. Snow measuring is an inexact science; there are arguments for both methods. -
March 12/13/14 Blizzard/Winter Storm/WWA etc
Isotherm replied to Bostonseminole's topic in New England
I concur with this too, I think they should have maintained the maximum depth standard. -
March 12/13/14 Blizzard/Winter Storm/WWA etc
Isotherm replied to Bostonseminole's topic in New England
Agree, and I'd argue the once per day observation is the least accurate of all for sure. The clearing/vs maximum depth should be fairly similar in most storms that aren't > 32F at the surface.