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paweather

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Posts posted by paweather

  1. 33 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

    6z is still a close miss, but at this lead time, we just want to storm to keep showing up, then we can start worrying about whos getting what (if anything).

    Looping through the panels, its a rather wonky/sloppy presentation, but no storm seems to come easy round here.  

    gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_29.png

    Yeah we knew it was going to be a back and forth in this range but it is at least showing the storm for now. 

  2. 6 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

    How bout all the above?

    In something like the HH GFS run wave spacing is close enough to almost work together (northern stream and southern streams phase).  As I suggested earlier, the northern stream (NS) energy is diving in on the back side feeding the coastal storm cold air.

    The pattern depicted is not progressive (fast), and the SLP off the coast takes its good ol time coming up the coast and gives time for that NS energy to catch up and "dives in" on the back and bombs out off the coast.  IF that would happen, thats called a capture/phase as one system feeds into the other (NS dives into SLP off coast). 

    The excitement is seeing all pieces of the puzzle getting close to working in concert w/ one another.  I'll not go much deeper than that cause thats the pros job, but hopefully my info in weenie terms helps to understand the elevated excitement. 

    Thats how I see it and if any disagree or have better disco to offer....share away.

    This is a pattern we haven’t seen n years 

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