paweather

2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

He is mad at the models for ruining the snow, thus the name ruin!  LOL

Love it! Didn’t look at that 

1 minute ago, Ruin said:

we all have this sinking feeling in our stomachs we know its going to go way west and be like in west of lake erie even tho the current set up doesnt support this it has happened in the past sadly we all hate app cutters but this happens more often then not. its what the models do sadly.

Don’t be a Debbie Downer! It’s 6 days out let’s see what the weekend brings 

11 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

This from DT’s blog this evening:

“Therefore at this time I do not consider the12z Fri operational European in the Canadian models to be Valid. Of course, I could be wrong.

Patterns / wave physics over models!”

 

DT like it. And he is right 6 days out. 

On to  0z come on and the 76ers are on. 

12 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

18z GEFS snow

That is awesome for the GEFS

43 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Good thing the storm didn’t happen yet…

6 days away…

I know give us some luck Blizz! 

2 minutes ago, Voyager said:

I can't understand why year after year, so many storms want to cut. Then all we (now you) end up with is Miller b's that sometimes do well. Many times they're either incredibly tainted, or you get the dryslot from hell.

 

Agree so many cutters the last couple of years it’s sickening can we just get a plain good snowstorm. Frustrating but it is the hobby I’m in and can’t get out. 

11 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

Joe Calhoun says he is leaning towards a snowy Friday next week.    And they really got a lot of snow at CTP.  Looks like several inches on the videos I just saw.   

 

No nooners today?  Maybe I missed.   High was a balmy 47 here.  48/49 at CXY.    

I didn’t do it either forgot

9 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

While we all get snow, and thats surely a plus that was a notable difference.  

And yes......still plenty of time as we look for continuity/trends/etc/blah blah blah.

IMO we needed the GFS to hold the line in hopes of the CMC/Euro to come around.  It went the other way and anyone that can read a model can see that.  Indisputable

 

And I didn’t mean it didn’t go the other way sorta definitely different solution I just wanted to be a tad optimistic ughhh dang models. 

Not a bad run

1 minute ago, pasnownut said:

Keep going PA....Its your snow train.

Make us happy.

 

I’m soon headed out 

Up to 90

The most important model run has started 

3 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

Wow.  Well it sorta looked like that for 1 run.  Wish he didnt raise they hypometer so much.  I miss the old Joe.

Yeah I miss the old Joe as well. 

Bastardi already comparing this to 1993 LOL

3 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

may need it cause if this were easy to figure out (cept for the few that think they already do)...this is the fun and part of the game.

Yep for sure! Cheers

2 minutes ago, pawatch said:

A lot of model runs until Thursday. Probably going to be some wiggle wiggle between now and then.

Lets see how consistent the model runs are.

Yep get a drink ready HH starts soon 

26 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I've been patiently waiting for your final tally. 1.68" was my final total. MJS for the W...

I was listening to a met discussion online a little while ago - this guy says there's virtually no chance of an east coast storm next week. Almost a lock any storm will cut. Went on to say that a white Christmas can be salvaged with the arctic front and snow squalls...but he seems convinced that a coastal storm is NOT happening. 

We shall see. 

I would love to be a met with that much confidence. They may be right but to act as if the forecast is 100% correct that is 

CTP favoring snow Thursday

1 minute ago, pasnownut said:

toggling back n forth between the majors, out to 132 they are pretty similar.  They divulge beyond that w/ the GFS having a deeper trough (hence the better solution) vs the Euro much less diggy/troughy.  As i stated above, GFS suite looks similar, so thats a plus.  Thats what I'm focusing on in the next couple days...upper air...not surface.  I'd think by late weekend we should have a better idea of what we may need....sleds or boats.

 

 

Sleds or Boats. LOL 

1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said:

I had a feeling the OP Euro wasn't going to be good - but your PBP was great.   

Yeah we all knew things were going to be back and forth for a while yet. Let's see how consistent the GFS is.  

Saturday night will be fun to watch the Bill and Dolphins game:

Get the umbrellas handy. 

Looks to be going west at 141. GFS versus the all the other models.